OFFICE OF THE- ASSISMTARY OF DEFENSE D c 20301-2400 In reply refer toh C 1-92 09051 INTERAATIONAL 0 SECURITY AFFAIRS MEMORANDUM FOR SECRETARY OF DEFENSE FOR POLICE ASD new 06 1952 SUBJECT North Korea Nuclear Issue- Where Are We How um 58 The IAEA now has visited Eo gbyon three timee and it is currentl in ther a ein to look at some facilities What is becoming aleer ie that Hert nen cppege je re mere evident as 1333 becomes more aggreseive in its ine ections ccmpounding the is that there is a sense thee after several fruitless mice meetings the may be en the verge of adopting quickly a bilateral inspeceipn regime which either falls short of satie ying our concerns or may not be implemented rigorously by the Given these two develepmeets it is time go review where we are and what steps 9 take next e the North Keyea nucleex issue i 1333 becomee even more intiueeve and en mere properly trained experte appear on IAEA regime ye prqvide a confidence cf whether the North- late as warriecme however is the seen hat perhaps as early as the end 3mg 9255 '03 31 qu 235 350 5 VI of epie yearf thefaoKs may hurriedly conclude bilaterelf agteement befcre Rah Tee Woo ste e gpwn And it cc ld waxy well be ap agreement which not qnly lacke credibility but in fact may 'be'diifienlt to be implemented in the future fa reasone ' - DEE LASSIHEJS a c115 ma F gem m DATE 0900290 7 FOIA F43 06 s REDACTIQNS APPLIED TO THIS PAGE TON - I EOEESZE a It is in thie envirehment recently that'I met with several peeple fram State Ear EM ACDA and NSC -Everyone present at this small group meeting agreed with the_eencern that a very diluted bilateral inspection regime may he signed which does not satisfy our echeerhe and thiehfmay provide undeServed - respectability tq the Edrth on this isshe - to in ke if the does dt haye to do so A decision a challenge inepectioh may for the South be as difficult a decisioh_as doing TEAM state EAR as usual is net as of either the North or the setth -Hdweverg the following steps were agreed to by this small group axe-cu 9n 0 an We n ed t9 efine id the RpKe some essential grinciples in the 0n the table that muet not he compr mieeda whey range frem the necessity fer adequate number of challe ge 1hepeetiahs to acdees to any eitememilitary or civilian to gpmmitmeht to a minimum number of inspections each year have new been resentee t9 the RDKs to prevent the principles trom heing exeluded tram whatever final bilateral regime is negotiated Egamine Qotential alternatives to incorporate these principles in ee e eprt 6f hew or hyhrid ineyectibn regime so that more credible Or evenvhmeridah inspectors can initiate aha edhihieter intru ierchallenge tns abtione mangated by thig hew regime rThie has the advahtage of ih uleting these ihspectibns ream the demestie'p litical pressures within the ROK er such negotiaticns weuld be prevldedftq ell partiee 'Ac Axis writing a paper on the feasibility f this minute pet will to discuss this approach the timing-and the idea-with the South and the IAEA if a new bilateral IAEA This PCB will also start leaking at our policy should be if the nuclear iesue ieg tesol eqnjab inning'with a definition of what resdlted yreellj'meehsr _Everyehe agrees that we should be very careful not to our-tritlcal requirements in any new appr ach the ROKe_or DPRK erceive us as weakehihg ghdgurpheelc objecti e to stop any DPRK weapons program with a credible phallehge i epection regime I here is agreement on'a new approach then we would have to convihee the RQKerEhho may net-agree with the possibility of including third parties shah in its bilateral the-north -- Whatever the R63 to break the current impasse with the DPRK it should that no movement in diplnmetic dialogue I '3 3905 V13 um ezsz t o and no economic Qccu' without acceptance of_ a challenge in spectibn regime which domains Our critical principlgsu r 13 51am ndley use 53 05c 3526 114 4 DECLASSIFIED usmp INTEROFFICE coonmumon SHEET 92 09051 Korea Nuclear Issue U Purpose To provide USDP with thoughts on the status of the Nexth Korea nuclear issue Recnmmendation That ASD ISA initial attached memorandum SEQ DATE SEQ SEQ mm mum no Dill OK COL Eden 2 Womn ISBKEBPR x57005 SECURHY                     National Security Archive    Suite 701  Gelman Library  The George Washington University    2130 H Street  NW  Washington  D C  20037    Phone  202 994‐7000  Fax  202 994‐7005  nsarchiv@gwu edu