UNClASSIPIED U S Department of State Case No F-2008-03441 Doc No C17575101 Date 12 20 2016 UNCLASSIFIED IRELEASE IN FULL PAGE 01 ORIGIN OES-09 STATE INFO OIC-02 COPY-01 ADS-OO AID-OO INR-10 SS-OO DINT-05 DODE-OO H-01 IO-19 NEA-04 EB-OO TRSE-OO NSF-02 NSAE-OO COl'-1E-OO NASA-02 L-03 EPA-04 CEA-01 OMB-01 EPAE-04 STR-17 EAP-OO DOEE-OO AGRE-OO ACDA-12 USIE-OO JUSE-OO SP-02 PRS-01 E-01 T-01 113 R LOG-OO ClAE-OO NSCE-OO PM-10 INRE-OO CEQ-01 029359 DRAFTED BY OES ENV SBUTCHER APPROVED BY OES ENV ADSENS EPA OIA JKOEHLER EAP C RGOLDBERG NEA INS DCAMP ------------------127023 300700Z 10 P 300655Z JAN 88 FM SECSTATE WASHDC TO AMEMBASSY BEIJING PRIORITY AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI PRIORITY IREVIEW AUTHORITY Theodore Sellin Senior Reviewer UNCLAS STATE 029359 NEW DELHI FOR BUTCHER AND MEER E O 12356 N A TAGS SENV ETRD EIND UNEP CH IN SUBJECT MONTREAL PROTOCOL ON OZONE-DEPLETING CHEMICALS REF A B C D E F 87 STATE 319737 87 STATE 382907 87 STATE 382075 TO BEIJING STATE 26003 TO BEIJING NEW DELHI 27219 NEW DELHI 26077 1 SUMMARY AND ACTION REQUEST CHINESE AND INDIAN PARTICIPATION IN THE MONTREAL PROTOCOL ON SUBSTANCES THAT DEPLETE THE OZONE LAYER WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED PAGE 02 STATE 029359 ITS EFFECTIVENESS WE WOULD APPRECIATE EMBASSIES' ASSESSMENT OF CHINESE AND INDIAN VIEWS ON RATIFICATION OF THE PROTOCOL AND EMBASSIES' ADVICE ON BEST MEANS FOR USG TO FACILITATE PROMOTE CHINESE AND INDIAN RATIFICATION UNCLASSIFIED U S Department of State Case No F-2008-03441 Doc No C17575101 Date 12 20 2016 E 50 UNOLASSIFIED U S Department of State Case No F-2008-03441 Doc No C17575101 Date 12 20 2016 END SUMMARY 2 THE U S GOVERNMENT STRONGLY SUPPORTS INTERNATIONAL ACTION TO PROTECT THE STRATOSPHERIC OZONE LAYER AS DESCRIBED IN REF A AND MATERIAL POUCHED TO EMBASSY IN OCTOBER AND DECEMBER THE BROADEST POSSIBLE PARTICIPATION IN THE MONTREAL PROTOCOL ON SUBSTANCES THAT DEPLETE THE OZONE LAYER IS IMPORTANT TO THE EFFECTIVENESS OF THE AGREEMENT IN PROTECTING THE STRATOSPHERIC OZONE LAYER TWENTY-EIGHT COUNTRIES INCLUDING US USSR JAPAN AND EC AND NINE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES HAVE SIGNED THE PROTOCOL PRC AND INDIA HAVE NOT SIGNED 4 ALTHOUGH THE PRC AND INDIAN CURRENT USE OF THE CHEMICALS CONTROLLED BY THE PROTOCOL IS RELATIVELY LOW THEIR POTENTIAL FUTURE USE IS SUBSTANTIAL A RECENT REPORT BY THE CONGRESSIONAL OFFICE OF TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT NOTES THAT THE PARTICIPATION OR NONPARTICIPATION OF CHINA AND INDIA WILL HAVE A THE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE PROTOCOL'S EFFECTIVENESS OTA REPORT NOTES THAT BOTH ARE POOR COUNTRIES WITH ENORMOUS POPULATIONS AND REASONABLY OPTIMISTIC ECONOMIC PROSPECTS WE EXPECT QUESTIONS ON PRC AND INDIAN PARTICIPATION IN THE SENATE HEARING ON U S RATIFICATION WHICH COULD BE SCHEDULED AS EARLY AS NEXT WEEK AND WOULD APPRECIATE EMBASSY ASSESSMENT OF THE PROSPECTS FOR RATIFICATION UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED PAGE 03 STATE 029359 5 WE WOULD ALSO APPRECIATE EMBASSY ADVICE ON WHETHER AND HOW THE USG CAN PROMOTE RATIFICATION E G SUGGESTIONS FOR REF D MISSION AND ANY OTHER OPPORTUNITIES YOU SEE AS REQUESTED IN REF A PLEASE PROVIDE YOUR ASSESSMENT OF WHETHER THERE ARE ANY SIGNIFICANT OBSTACLES TO SIGNATURE AND RATIFICATION AND HOW LONG THE PROCESS IS LIKELY TO TAKE 6 EMBASSY MAY FIND THE FOLLOWING POINTS USEFUL IN DISCUSSIONS WITH PRC AND GOI OFFICIALS -- THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE AND ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS THE RISKS ARE REAL AND SUBSTANTIAL -- INTERNATIONAL STANDING OTHER MAJOR COUNTRIES ARE UNCLASSIFIED U S Department of State Case No F-2008-03441 Doc No C17575101 Date 12 20 2016 UNCLASSIF IED U S Department of State Case No F-2008-03441 Doc No C17575101 Date 12 20 2016 PARTICIPATING THE CHINESE AND INDIANS SHOULD NOT WANT TO BE SEEN AS POTENTIAL POLLUTION HAVENS REDUCTIONS IN USE OF THE CHEMICALS ARE FEASIBLE -ALTERNATIVE CHEMICALS AND TECHNOLOGIES EXIST FOR SOME USES AND OTHERS ARE BEING DEVELOPED -- THE PROTOCOL RECOGNIZES THE SPECIAL NEEDS OF LOW-CONSUMING DEVELOPING COUNTRIES AND PROVIDES THEM WITH A 10 YEAR GRACE PERIOD -- PARTIES INCLUDING MARKETS FOR PRC AND INDIAN EXPORTS WILL BAN IMPORTS FROM NON-PARTIES OF THE CHEMICALS AND PRODUCTS CONTAINING THEM EFS AND POUCHED MATERIALS PROVIDED INFORMATION ON EACH OF THESE ASPECTS WE WOULD BE HAPPY TO PROVIDE ADD TIONAL COPIES OR ANY ADDITIONAL INFORMATION EMBASSY OR HOST GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS NEED 7 WE WOULD APPRECIATE A RESPONSE BY FEBRUARY 5 SINCE UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED PAGE 04 STATE 029359 SENATE HEARING MAY BE SCHEDULED ON SHORT NOTICE AS WELL AS CONTINUING REPORTING OF EMBASSY DIALOGUE WITH HOST GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS ON THIS SUBJECT 'SHULTZ UNCLASSIFIED U S Department of State Case No F-2008-03441 Doc No C17575101 Date 12 20 2016 UNOL SSIFIED U S Department of State Case No F-2008-03441 Doc No C17575101 Date 12 20 2016 UNCLASSIFIED NNNN UNCLASSIFIED U S Department of State Case No F-2008-03441 Doc No C17575101 Date 12 20 2016 This document is from the holdings of The National Security Archive Suite 701 Gelman Library The George Washington University 2130 H Street NW Washington D C 20037 Phone 202 994-7000 Fax 202 994-7005 nsarchiv@gwu edu