ATTACHEMENT T0 cwo INTELLIGENGET NOTES FUR APRIL 9 1981 Eh - was _jf - SITUATION cud CH Date ww - A he Royal Air Force RAF 15 not authorized to A I Ascension Island and the UK currently _had not received permisgign 1 I _l auerican country for elthef 0Verf1iQht5_ RAF C-130 aircraft have range to fly 6 Ascension Islands to Port Stanley and as a result the RAF is considering alternative air routes which would f' include refueling stops at several US airfiel s aster Is a nd and Chil 1 A if aft es ecially the would be the emplovmenttof the A-a's The RAF is also concerned about the status of the Port Stanley airfield According to British engineers the foot runway could be extended 2 000 feet ln two to three weeks - A two NIMROD 81 rcraft ension Islan and _would be used for communications with the fleet it REDACYTEI ACTED IQZLJALILL 4CTED 1 4 T FD 1 In air activity fr A a lo a movemen alrcra a a - uthern and an area within 200 nm of the southern _Argentine coast and w1th1n a 200 nm radius of the Falklands has -been declared a restricted zone for A11 The Army is also making preparat-ions for a Fi' i 1 Ill' I i -I- _1 REDACTED1--l-lin I in Argentina has sponded to the British proclamation of a ACTED 200-mile exclusive zone around the Falklands effective 1204012 APRIL by creating a South Atlantic Theater of Uperations to defend a zone out to 200 nm from the mainland as well as a similar zone around the Falkland South Georgia and Sandwich Islands According to press reporting Argentine President GALTIERI declared yesterday that a UK blockade of the Falklands would mean war If comments are not just a face-savin esture a C1880 ILS possible early next week A 1 REDACTED- nuns i Since the Argentines are reportedly lengthening and hard-ning he air strip in Fort Stanley to accomodate A-A MIRAGE PUCARA and 0-130 aircraft and reinforcing the island with additional t oo s - air defense equipment A It the weather wi be a major factor as it will deteriora steadily over the nekt three to four months with the onset of winter in the South Atlantic REDACTED CTIED CTED Rzpacrzp REDACTED In international developments _the Soviets are apparently endorsing Argentine claims although this support has been low-key Since Moscow's relations with the UK are strained the Soviets may be willing to support the Argentines to further their trade relationship Argentine grain exports have been in alleviating recent Soviet agricultural shortfalls The Soviet however have not offered diplomatic aid to Buenos Aires which 085 reportedly disappointed the Argentines Additionally it 15 estimated that Soviet military activity in response to the Argentine UK situation will probably be'restricted to locating data Page 2 of 3 I l- In 1 11 on British ships CTED REDACTED REDACTED REDACTED- 4CTED i- I -I- Page 3 of 3 pages