mum can -1 momma Department of State cr FROM hare I ff 0 g TU Secretary of Qtaie a LMP 652BEST DE scream n5 RFPEATED macaw as 93 steam um CH 0 as as POSTS coupon wanna mm mats lN Although local implications of withdrawal Goviet Warsaw treaty 2 troops from Romania will become fully clear only as and if Ln withdrawal implemented following preliminary comments may be of interest IE 5 IR 1 There has been no observable enthusiasm among Bucharest 33 OCB citizenrv over may 24 communique on Moscow conference and Ugig private reaction non-official Rumanians on basis limited CIA sampling revea_s to both scope and timing of 05 withdrawal One source douhted withdrawal would change any ARMS Lhing asserting in this regard that regime recently took recautiunary step of arming worker guards in factories Aig Anottar source all Soviet troops would he remo ed and Hit noted Soviet frontier not is away Not surprisingly press date has not made special play 01 proposed withdrawal and has floated it escloeively international contesi as new 3 evidence of Soviet policy of peace a 2 Legation sees consid table justification lot popul-1 cynicism at this stage on significance of withdraTHI which even if fullT1 implemEnLed will not basically alto Rtmanian dependence on USSR in separate message air attache expressed View withdrawal would be gladual and that Soviet technical personnel likely be retained in some strength in advisory positions as at airfields Also announcements specifically restricted withdrawal to troops in Rumania in connection with Warsaw Treaty leading to speculation that USSR might retain certain forces Rumaoja as LOG troops in snppo division remaining Hungary or under other designations 611 5 19909an0 Forever even PERMANENT unless RECORD copy - This 1 Op mugt be _cenu-a1 files with w-CONFIDENTIAL -2- 652 May 29 ll from Bucharest 3 prever even if certain JaviEL forces remain in country general implementation or withdrawaa could have important local consequences T would he vaSLly popular move among majority of population helding larth proSpect of improved housing for townspeople is linisUarc Ala-d Constanta Gala ti Braila et cetera 2 i areasing amount of food a available for Rumanian L-ensumptinn anc possibly nourishing - hope that regime mipghut have tiLude to liberalize policies and orient than more in national interest than in past 4 It seems certain that engine whieh on credit side should realize substantial econoaie benafits as well as some possible increase in prestige intec a1 see 3 above and externally must nevertheless realize progress of withdrawal will be delicate period requiring vigilance against possible anti- regime activity Extent its concern in this respect has not yet become apparent and we doubt that any Specific plan of op on has been developed at this juncture Cautious leadersh of heorghiu-Dej however almost certainly sought and received gene al assurances of Soviet support in event internal crisis 5 escription of proposal in communique as Soviet rather than joint Soviet Rumanian as well as character of Soviet- Rumanian relationship suggests initiative on withdrawal was Soviet rather than Rumanian We have no evidence indicating how long proposal was under consideration but no hint thereof reached Legation from local sources SWNK Poached by DCT J