__ _ _ • __ _ w __ _ IW-•-•__ • _• ---•----• - - • • wu Nl illll 'Ct ----- - - JOINT STAFF f · 1 11 RELEASE IN FULL INFO SERVICE CENTER L t o • EXC LUS IVE IIIIEOJATE ZYIJW RIIFffFTA5679 3440852 TO BRING THEM UP TD SPEED IN THIS HIGHLY FORMATIVE 0 100S C6Z DEC 91 STAGE I BELIEVE VE SHOOLD TAU FULL ADVANTAGE Of THIS FM AMCIIISUL FRANKFURT OPPORTUrlm 111TH l'RJORm ATTENTIIJI IN TH£ AREA Of ARMS TO SECSTATE VASHDC IMMEDIATE 1716 CMROL AND D·PROLIFERATJON IN ORDER TO EASE THE BURDEN 00 OUR HOSTS AND OUR EXCELLENT BUT HARDPIIESSED STAFF JN mv' VE SIQJLD STAGE THESE VISITS TO AWID OV£RLAPS VE SHOOLD ALSO CONSIDER All INFORMAL DIVISION OF LABOR VITH OUR NATO ALLIES SOIE OF lftDI IIUILD PROBABLY BE INTER£STED IN DOING THE SAME FOR THE SECRETARY FIKl4 A S NILES 6 THE IJILY POINT VHERE I ENCOUNTERED All ABSOLUTELY C o R R E C T E D C O P Y IGUllf I-0 I i FIIIM IM'IELDING UlRAINIAN POSITION CONCER11£D THE FUTURE NOTE BY DO CC PGIIM E TQ Uffl PER MR PERRY S S·O Of A CENTER Alll THE ROLE Of liOIIIACHEV EVEN BEFORE THE DECEMBER 8 MEETING IN MIIISl VE FOUND A UNIFORM VIEV o aaiia BEEL IWIR THAT TH£ CEllTER NO LONGER EXISTED THUS THERE IIAS 110 TAGS PREL PGOV UR RECEPTIVITY VIIEN I ENCOURAGED THE UlRAINIANS TO SUBJECT MY TALtS IN mv PARTICIPATE IN SUPREME SOVIET SESSIOOS TO RATIFY CFE AND l GQN -i £1Q'IA4- ENTIRE TUT START IN TAltS DECEMBER 9 VITH FOUII Alal ZL£11l0 THEY STRESSED THE HISTORIC CHARACTER OF THE MIKSl DJCISimlS Z VITH MY COLLEAGU£S LARRY IIAPPER ANO BOB EIN m AND AND THEIR IRREVOCABLE CHARACTER FOUN ¥ID WAS AT ACCCIIPAHIED BY DUR mv CIJISUL GENERAL JON GUNDERSON' I MJNSl AND READ TO NE FD THE SIGHED COPY Of TH£ CONCLIIIED THREE DAYS Of TALtS IN mv IIIWDAY AFTERNOON' AGREEMENT BUT DECLINED TO GIVE ME A COPY PUT DECEMBER 9 I VILL BE BACl IN THE DEPARTMENT LATE ON PARTICULAR STRESS ml THE FACT THAT THE NEV •cCJIMIIIIIEALTH TUESDAY DECEMBER 10 AND VILL BE AVAILABLE TO BRlEF YOU OF INDEPENDENT STATES• VILL HAVE NO CElfffR Allll IIO THEN IN THE MEANTIME I VANT TO GlVE YOO ARELATIVELY PRESIDENT BRIEF SIIIIARY Of OUR DISCUSSIONS AHO SOIE TIDm TS ON NEXT STEPS VE ARE SENDING ASEPARATE MESSAGE VITH 1 RECOOII ITIIII BY THE UNITED STATES IS CLEARLY AT THE SUGGESTED TAUING POINTS FOR VILL TAFT TO USE IN THE TOP OF THE UlRAINIAJI AGENDA IOIEVER THE UlRAINIAN VEDNESOAY NAC AND JIM COLLINS TO USE VITH RUSSIAN AND LEADERS BELIEVE THAT OUR RECOONITlml JS INEVITABLE AND CENTER OFFICIALS PIii NO PRESSURE ON ME NOR VILL THEY ON YOO THEY VILL RINAIII CALM QI THIS POINT UNLESS THEY SEE WR ACTION 3 TO BEil IG VITH I BELl£VE THAT THE DECISIIII TO SEND GOING BEYOND THE JANUARY 29-30 CSCE PRAGII£ MINISTERIAL ME TO mv VAS AVISE 011£ INCIDENTALLY OOR EXAMPLE VIIJCH I BELIEVE THEY HAVE PIClED AS THEIR DEBUT ON THE JS BEING lrICIED UP BY OTHUS THUS FAR THE FRG NID IIDRLD STAGE CANADA HAVE SENT REPRESElffATIVES AND THE Ut AND DUTCH FOR THE EC ARE SAID TO BE Ill THE lfAY BY THIS a lj THE BASIS OF MY TAUS IN mv' I B£LIEVE THE APPROACH VE HAVr BEEN ABLE TO COOROL THE PACE AND SIT UlRAINIAIIS EITHER HAVE OR SID IIILL SATISFY YOOR FIVE THE AGENDA Of 1X1R DEVELOPING RELATIONSHIP VJTH UlRAINE POMS AND ARE PREPARED TO BE RESPOOIBLE OI NUCLEAR AS VELL AS MAXIMIZING OUR LEVERAGE OVER UKRAINE ISSUES I THEREFORE RECCIIIEIID THAT VE MOVE AHEAD ml RECOONlTial IF AT ALL POSSIBLE IN CLOSE COIPAflY VITH 4 THE ATMOSPHERICS Of MY VISIT VERE EXCELLENT ANll WILL BT BE EVEN BITTER FOR YOORS THE UIRAINIAIS ARE SO AIIXIIXJS -E O N F 8 t N T l A L ti LEM SECTION 02 OF 03 FRANlFURT 15679 TO PUT THEIR BEST FOOT FORIIIARD THAT IT JS AOOST EMBARRASSING Ill SUUROAY DECEMBER 7 VE HAD EIGHT - CONSECUTIVE KOORS Of MEITINGS BEGINNING VJTH PRESIDENT FOR THE SECRETARY FIKl4 A S NILES IRAYCHUl AND IIOVIMi TO PRIME MINISTER FOllN FOREIGN MINISTER ZLENtO ANO DEFENSE MINISTER MOIIOZOV SUNDAY VAS SPENT WITH PARLIAMENTARIANS Mil FOREIGN MINISTRY C O R R E C T E D CO PY llll lllilL lll UD OFFICIALS AND VE COICLUDED al MIIIDAY VITH MEETllliS lflTH l«JTE BY IXl CC 11P6IIAII JD Elllm FER MR PEl RY S S·O FOlIN ZLENlO ll ROIOY AND MINISTER FOR FOREIGN ECCDIC E B Ha BE l NII' RELATIONS tRAVCHINlO TAGS PREL PGOV UR SUIJECT MY TAUS Ill mv 5 II All ISSUES DISCUSSED VE FIXJNO THE UlRADIJANS WR lEY ALLIES YOO COOLD USE THE DEC£M8ER 19 NAC TD ANXJOOS TO ACCOl400ATE WR C J ERIS THEY READILY ADMIT REACH AN UNDERSTANDING Ill TIMI li AJlD IOIALITIES IN MY A LACI Of QOILEDGE AND EXPERIENCE IN AOOST All AREAS VIEII INDEPEIIDENCE RECIXilllZ D BY THE lEY CUTR JES IS AND ARE lEEN ON OOR SEliDilli EXPERT DELEGATI lfS TO lIEV AN ESSENTIAL PREC lll ITIIJI FOR THE UlRAINIAIIS TO SIT 11M AD l«lRt 00T ASENSIBLE RELATI IISIIIP VITH THE OTHER FOR J5 REPUBLICS THE MIISt AGREEMENT IIAS THE FIRST STEP IN REVIEW FOR DISTRIBUTJ lf TO CINCS THIS PllltESS BUT IIIJCH WORl REMAINS UXIUlli FURTHER SUBMIT JCS·DSS FOIi 30 IF REQUIRED AHEAD IIIE APPROACH YOU MiliffT VANT TO CIIISIDER IS AN CORRECTED COPY INVITATION TO ZLENlO AND D£FMIII IIJROZDY TO VISIT WASHllliTON IN MID·JMIUARY THEY C IJU MEET VITH THE PRESIDENT AND PARTICIPATE IN ACEREIOIY MARlllli EXCY F8R VP PER lfAIIROCU llDEC REC06NITI II AIID THE ESTABLIS114£NT Of DIPLOIATIC RELATI IIS THIS ll XJLD ALSO ENABLE US TO 6ET KIROIOV A ACTION R M MOST IMPRESSIVE 6UY TOOETHER VITH SECDEF AND GENERAL INFO CJCS t J8 3 JS 1 SECDEF·N l LL IJSOP 13 USDA PIL 1 USDA AE l IJSDA STICFSAC l ASD P 2 USDP-CH 1 IISOP PDp DR l PID l 008-AC l 1111 2 DA·SA l OSC-C 1 9 Clfl ARMS COOROL ISSUES I FllJND THE UtRAINIMS READY NIIS l DA-PA l Dl l DIO l 008 1 DIA D TO VDIII CLOSELY lflTH US THEY VILL 1JT PARTICIPATE IN -t«SA lfASHIMillll DC ANY USSR SUPREME SOVIET ACTIOO Ill CFE AND START BUT CIIO lfASHJJlGTON DC THEY ARE PREPARED TO DO IIHATEVER OOR LAIIYERS ASl ASIDE NATS PENTAGIII VASHINGTOI DC FIJI GOJJi TO lmC JI TO BRI li THE TREATIES INTO FORCE IIATS PEITAGN IIASHiliTIJI DC ANO APPLY THEM al UlRAINIAII TERRITORY lfE SIDILD BE A USMCR SHAPE BEl 9 JMY ABLE TO l«JRI THIS 00T IN AWAY THAT SATISFIES THE $•Yt p Xv 11 cl 'f JS - MCN•91344 03173 T0R•91344 12O8Z TAD•91345 2008Z C0SN•MAU997 PAGE 1 OF C8NFIDENTIAL SPECAT ✓6go g 2 91 3G° From the Nunn-Lugar collection of the National Security Archive 2 J2 157 JOINT STAFF INFO SERVICE CENTER EXCLUSIVE 10 ON NUCLEAR CCIIIAND AIGI CIWTROL THE UlRAINIANS TOLD US THAT THE OLD CENTRAL COOROL REMAINED IlrTACT ALTl«ll Qi ZLENlO ADMITTED DURING OUR FINAL MEETING DECEMBER 9 THAT IN THE IIAlE OF THE MlNSl MEETING HE COOLD NOT DESCRIBE EXACTLY THE CEIITRAL AUTOORID AND THE CHAIN Of C014ANO WOULD NOW WRI IN PRACTICE TO ENSURE UNIFIED CCNIAND AND COOROL J URGED THAT HE AND KRAVCHUl BE ABLE TO DESCRIBE lllW THIS SYSTBI l«llllS TO YOO ON DECEMBER 17 AGAIHST THE LIIELll«lOO THAT THE EXISTING SYSTEM VILL COLLAPSE THE UIRAINJANS HAVI BEEN WORUNG VITH RUSSIA BELAl t S AND WAlllSTAII TO ESTABLISH A NEW COLLECTIVE COOROL THAT WWLO IIOT GIVE THEM DIRECT COOROL OVER THE IIEAPalS Ill THEIR TERRITORY BUT IDJLD GIVE THEM POLITICAL COOROl OVER THEIR IOI-USE THIS SIDJLD BE WORKABLE BUT IT DOES RAISE SOCE QUESTIONS 11 DEFENSE MINISTER l«ll OZOV TOLD US HE HAD AGREED WITH Ulllal DEFNIN SHAPOSlliUOV TO RETURN ALL RPT ALL TACTICAL NUCLEAR SYSTEMS TO RUSSIA FDR DISMANTLEMEIIT VITH UKRAINIAN PARTICIPATION BY NID-1992 HE OPES TO ACCELERATE THE RDIWAL REC JIRED BY START OF THE 130 SS-19' S FROI SEVIN TO FIVE YEARS AND HE IIIPES THAT S l4E SUBSEQUENT AGREEMENT WITH THE UNffiD STATES IIILL LEAD TD Til EARLY REMOVAL OF THE SS·24'S I BELIEVI THAT ONE REW THE UlRAINIAIIS ARE SO lEEN TO 6£T RID OF ALL NUCLEAR VEAPDNS ASAP IS THAT DOING SO IIOOLD REMOVE YET ANOTHER REASON FOR CENTRAL IIIVOLVEMEIIT IM THEIR AFFAIRS THEY TOLD US THAT THEY VERE READY TO BEGIN THE PROCESS OF ADHERENCE TO THE NPT AS A IIOll·Nl CLEAR WEAPONS STATE IMMEDIATELY AJlll VE VERE ABLE TO AHMR MOST Of THEIR QUESTICIIS Ill THIS POINT 12 O IU4AN RIGHTS RESPECT FOR Mil«IRITIES AND SMCTITT OF FRONTIERS 11£ RECEIVED ALL THE RIGffT ANSVERS THE UUAINIANS ARE GETTING THEIR LAVS AND ADMINISTRATIVE STRUCTURES RIGHT ALTHOIXill THIS IIILL TAlE S l4E TIME DEVER OLD HABITS DIE HARD AND FD KRAVCIIUl JI OM VE ARE DEALING WITH AGIIOOP OF CCNIUNIST APPARATCHilI 1111«1 HAVE CHANGED THEIR CIMTS 111 THE RUN WE IIILL HAVE TO lEE'P THE PRESSURE JI INCLUDING A VISIT BY DICl SCHIITTR IIIIICH THEY SAID THEY IIOOLD VELCOtE TD ENSURE THAT THIS CONTINUES DI THE RIGHT DIRECTION I RAISED JEIIISH EMI6RATIIII VITH ZLEIIID AND HE CHEERFULLY ACCEPTED A LIST OF REFUSNIKS THAT I HAD OBTAINED FROI THE COOIICIL Ill SOVIET JMY 13 alE EMOTIONAL POIIIT VHICH I FEEL SURE VILL CCJIE UP VITH YOO JS THE ROWIJAN CLAIM TD THE BlllOVDA AND OTHER PARTS OF THE VESTEIIII UlRAINE ZLElflO SAID HE HAD CANCELLED A VISIT TO BUCHAREST AND REFUSED THE RCIIANIAN BT B IJ P I I I I - J 1m SECTIO 03 OF 03 FRANlFURT 15679 -EJIDHi • FOR TH SECRETARY FROI A S NILES -C O R R £ C T E DC O P Y UP ANli-TO Ul11 I NOTE BY DD CC IIP RMI to EIDli PER MR PERRY S S·O MCN•91344 03173 15 II ECONCNIC REFORM THE UKRAINIANS ARE V£RY SENSITIVE TO CLAIMS THAT THEY ARE LMiGING BEHIND RUSSIA WICH THEY ARE THEY CLAIM THAT RUSSIA IS ABOOT TO JIICP OFF ACLIFF DUE TO THE LACK OF PREPARATial FOR THE REFORMS ORIGINALLY SCHEDULED FDR DECEMBER 16 ON DECEMBER 9 FOIIN TOLD ME THAT HE HAD BEEN SUCCESSFUL IN MINSl IN PERSUADING YELTSIN TO POSTP JjE THE REFORM AT LEAST I IIITIL JANUARY 1 199Z FROI HIS CtMtENTS l HAVE THE IMPRESSION THAT THE UKRAINIANS ARE PREPARED IN A SENSE TO BRIBE THE RUSSIANS TO llllJI OFF ABIT LONGER BY SENDING SIIIE ADDITIIWAL FDOO SUJIPLIES TO RUSSIA DESPITE THE FACT THAT UKRAINE IS RUNNING VERY lOi ITSELF THERE IS MUCH RESEIITMEIIT IN mv OYER THE FACT THAT UKRAINE REALLY HAS NO CIIJICE BUT TO TAG ALIIG IF RUSSIA EIIBARlS ml A SERIOOS REFOIIM OR FACE CHAOS THEY BELIEVE CHAOS OF A DIFFEREIIT SORT VILL RESULT FROI TH£ RUSSIAN REFORMS EXPORT AND CURREIICY CIIITIIOlS AGAJIST RUSSIA IQILD BE THE OTHER ALTERNATIVE SIDJLD UlRAINE IIOT GO ALONG VITH THE RUSSIAN REFOIIII ACOURSE OF ACTI II FOm AGREED OILD BE SUICIDAL • 16 VE DEVOTED caismERABLE TIME TO THE PRCIL£MS OF ttllTROLS MR SENSITIVI EXPORTS THE UlRAIIIIAHS fRANllY ADMITTED THAT THEY SEE THE DANGER BUT HAVE NO IDEA IOf TO D£Al VITII IT THEY IIILL VELCOCE OOR AIIVICE ANO ASS 1STANCE 17 II NY SECIJiD MEITIIIG WITH FOUN HE CAME FORWARD VTTH AN ENOTICIAL APPEAL FOR ASSISTANCE HE SAID HE •HOPES THE IIIITED STATES AMI ITS FRIENDS WILL HELP US AT THIS CRITICAL TINE AND IKlT LET THIS NEV COIONEALTH WICH IS VERY MUCH Ill YOOII INTEREST DIE • HE GAVE ME A LIST Of ITEMS UIIGEmY NEEDED 111 THE UlRAIIE TO STAVE OFF IIJIIGER THIS VIIITER PREVENT DISTRESS SLAOOHTER OF LIVESTOCl AID PREPARE FOR THE 1992 HARVEST I BELIEVE THE UlRAJNIANS IIEED AIII DESEM VESTERN HELP VITH THE RIGHT POLICIES WHICH I BELIEVE VE CAW PERSUADE THEM TO ADOPT A LOT Of HELP AIID 110 LmLE UJCl THEY HAVE A CHANCE V 1£ED TO CCISIDER ON All UIGENT BASIS fOI 11£ CAN NOV£ AHEAD IIITH NFII AIID IOI sa OF THE S1 Z5 BILLIOI IN AIJDITIIIAL CCC CREDIT GUARMltES MADE AVAILABLE BY THE PRESmENT CAN D TO UKRAINE IN THE vm Of TitE NINSl AGREEMENT I MAY BE Wlmi BUT AFTER MY TALCS lN mv I BELJEV THAT THE RECElfT UNDERSTANDllliS Cli Eca«JIIC ISSUES REACHED VITH CElfTRAL ORGANllATICIIS WHETHER HEADED BY ORBACIIEV SILAYEV OR SIJIECIIE ELSE VILL HAVE TO BE REOCWE 111TH THE REPUBLICS NILES SlllSTAL BT Office of the Secretary of Defense J E B laai 1lffi QADRTAGS PREL PGOY UR SUBJECT NY TALCS JI mv DfFER OF RECOONITIIJI OVER THIS ISSUE I TOLD HIM THAT VE INSISTED II THE CSCE PRINCIPLE THAT FROO'IERS CAN ONLY BE CHAIEED BY PEACEFUL tmSENSUAL NEAIIS WICH SEEMED TO SATISFY ZLENKO 'EX'Ctli 14 DISCUSSlal OF ECONOIJC ISSUES VENT S l4EVKAT LESS VELL I STRESSED THE mo FOR UKRAIIE TO JOIN THE OTHER EIGHT REPUBLICS THAT HAVI ACCEPTED THE PRINCIPLE OF JOINT AND SEVERAL LIABILITY FOR THE USSR'S DEBT INSISTING THAT UlRAINE 'S FUTURE CREDIT lfORTIIINESS VAS AT STAKE FOIIN SAID THEY COULD AGREE TO THE PRINCIPLE OF JOIIIT AND SEVERAL LIABILITY VITH S£11E BOOY PERHAPS THE YHESHUIDBANl VEB PERHAPS LOCATED IN IIOSCO - • TO SERVE AS THE PAYING AGENT BUT VITIQIT THE POWER TD rm ON NEV DEBT HE ALSO MAD CLEAR THAT THE REPUBLICS HAD IIOT BEEN ABLE TD AGREE tw VDTili RIGHTS AND PROCEDURES al THIS PAYING AGElfT THE MAJOR PROBLEM HERE IS ANY FORM Of UNI lj A CCNCEPT THAT mm IN UKRAINIAN THROIITS TOR•91344 12082 Chief RDD ESD WI IS • Date £1 Authority EO 13526 Declassify - - Deny in Full _ __ Declassify in urt _ __ Reason --- _ - ---MDR n-M- 1'55C a t TA0•91345 2008Z COSN•MAU997 • PAGE 2 OF CONFIDENTIAL SPECAT ir g 2 91 From the Nunn-Lugar collection of the National Security Archive SENATE 8UT I RECCIIIEHD EARLY CONSULTATIONS BEMEN THEIR LAmRS AND OORS THEY CLEARLY HAVE NO FIRM PLANS ON THE SIZE OF THEIR ARMED FORCES AND THE DECLARED FIGURE MR 400 000 HAS 11D CURREliT RELEVAliCE MOROZOV IS t IICERHED AIIOOT THE VELFARE OF RELEASED OFFICERS AND ENLISTED PERSIJDIEL AND HE WILL mp DE Of THEM JN UNIFORM TO AWID THlKJIIIIIG THDC Ml THE STREIT