No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 N LC-133-1-2-22-6 pas R IBNED 17-May-2007 DEC N FULL W $ NOTES FOR MEETING WiTH THE VICE PRESIDENT - - - - - - - - v r a ' - V ' lb MIDDLE EAST EC-9 Declaration - Shares US goal of comprehensive peace Israel right to exist and resolution of Palestinian problem PLO must be associated with talks Security council should provide guarantees Call for Palestinian self-determination carefully hedged US position is that it does not undercut Camp David and we are moving ahead Hope to influence follow-up contacts to prevent disruption Meeting on Autonomy Talks Announced - Washington July 2-3 - Linowitz Burg Ali - To review negotiations and reach understandings for quick resumption Hussein Visit Frank but warm talks cleared the air - Progress in understanding how approaches might converge in future - Reaffirmation of common commitment to comprehensive peace US offer of medical assistance to one of West Bank Mayors accepted SECRET No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 NLC-133-1-2-22-6 - No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 N LC-133-1-2-22-6 SEC H t l' -2-- Begin says ten new settlements will be last but thickening of existing will cont1ue UNSC Resolution on West Bank - US abstains Saudis request F-lS·modifications for offensive capability 90-day deployment of F-4s to Egypt OPEC meeting - $32 p barrel ceiling· and $5surcharge set - Saudis to keep $28 price no reduction in production SOUTHWEST ASIA IRAN New Parliament -- Checking of credentials progressing well Selection of new prime minister estimated within 1-2 weeks Hostage issue could be taken up before July 20 Internal Struggle -- Bani-Sadr and the secular leadership squaring off against Beheshti and religious party Experience suggests continuing unresolved conflict - Khomeini's recognition of the Iranian origin of problems and his·scolding of the revolutionary guards for lack of discipline seem to suggest that even he now recognizes something must be done to stop dr ft towards chaos Prospects for Hostage Release -- Several prominent Iranians have called for release of hostages Militants have been strangely quiet during recent weeks and hardly anyone mentions return of the Shah Threat of a trial has receded somewhat Current idea seems to be to put the US on trial But still little grounds for optimism SECRET -- - ·- • No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 NLC-133-1-2-22-6 -· • - ip · No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 NLC-133-1-2-22-6 t C 1 ili 'l' -3- Daoudi Mission -- Daoudi has met with McHenry and Saunders Little prospect for continuation of UN Commission or publication of its report despite Ghotbzadeh's insistence We wou'ld want definite link to release of hostages Location of the Hostages -- We have heard from nine hostages since rescue mission All but one of the letter writers are apparently in the Embassy Sanctions and the Economy -- Clear the US European and Japanese sanctions having an effect Many spare parts are in critically short supply Reduction in Iranian oil sales together with the freeze of assets is affecting the available revenues and forcing an austere budget Inflationary pressures building Unemploymeht remains high Iranian moderates working to relieve problem Afghanistan Meetings · -- Ghotbzadeh Agah Shahi and Chatti meeting this weekend in Geneva with Afghan Freedom Fighters and possibly representatives of the Babrak government AFGHANISTAN -- Fighting reported between combined Afghan Soviet forces and nationalist insurgents in Kabul suberbs and in Paghrnan_mountains of Parwan Still no confirmation that Soviets have increased troop levels above the 85 000 previously reported -- Soviets are rumored to be looking for replacement for Babrak Karmal Those most widely mentioned are members of current regime -- We have no confirmation of possible suicide attempt by Babrak Karmal which reportedly was thwarted by his Soviet chief Karmal has been seen in public since the story appeared SECRET No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 NLC-133-1-2-22-6 ------- --__ _- _ __ _·_ _ ·· - - No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 NLC-133-1-2-22-6 SECRET -4-- Political feuding between Khalq and Fareham factions increasing Assassinations of low-level Khalqi and Parchamist workers averaged over ten a day last week in Kabul alone Three more cabinet ministers from Amin government probably have been executed -- Standing Committee of the Islamic Conference plans to meet in Geneva June 20 with Afghan nationalist representatives Babrak regime continues to insist that it will not meet with committee unless i t is recognized as legitimate government of J fghanistan EUROPE i GERMANY J _ -- Schmidt to go to Moscow 6 30 Promises to discuss Afghanistan and TNF along Western lines Genscher to brief EC in Brussels and come to US in early July Schmidt upset over President's letter warning him on understanding with Soviets on LRTNF decision by NATO -- Senator Biden's meeting with Schmidt 6 11 you have received report SOVIET UNION -- Muskie met for first time with Ambassador Dobrynin on June 16 Expressed disappointment with Gromyko's negative reaction to letter on Afghanistan which Ambassador Watson had delivered the week before Secretary emphasized President's continued interest in SALT ratification but said votes were just not presently availabe Dobrynin asked if that meant ratification is unlikely before next year -- Secretary said that was realistic view Dobrynin said there would be problems with timing of Protocol if ratification came after Spring 1981 -- Secretary reassured Dobrynin about false NORAD alert which Gromyko had raised with Watson Dobrynin expressed interest in Soviet role in solving Middle East problems and regret that no formal response had been made to Brezhnev's proposal for TNF negotiation other than the NATO deployment decision SECRET No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 NLC-133-1-2-22-6 -- - - - No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 N LC-133-1-2-22-6 SECRET -s- -- Defense Minister Ustinov reported to have cancer -- Instruction sent to Novosti to step up anti-US propaganda · Venice Summit -- To review policies for dealing with energy inflation slow growth rising protectionist pressures Political discussion for first time First collective meeting of leaders since Soviet invasion of Afghanistan Ankara NATO Ministerial -- Want to gain support of allies of accomplishments at Venice Convince Allies that we have long term strategy in dealing with Soviets Reach agreement on Western position for Madrid CSCE Our cautious position towards French COE has us isolated within Alliance LATIN AMERICA Bolivia Military far right anti-US campaign escalates - Santa Cruz Consular Agency gutted - Ambassador Weisman's removal demanded by military El Salvador Encouraged by reforms Right left violence continues Christian Democratic Party asks for US assistance Nicaragua -- Encouraging developments two moderates on Junta municipal national elections promiseq private sector reforms accepted La Prensa re-opens FMS arrearages paid Cuba Boat flow ceases - 114 126 arrivals to 6 18 - 65 388 relocated SECRET No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 NLC-133-1-2-22-6 - No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 N LC-133-1-2-22-6 - 6 - Castro rejects US note alleging hardened criminals sent to us Says ''patriotic undesirables may stay Working on excluding from US some hardened criminals Impasse continues on 350 Cubans given temporary sanctuary in USINT President Carazo agreed in principle to convene second conference on Cuban refugees in San Jose 6 27-28 Requests Tripartite group send letter requesting meeting before announcement Awaiting British concurrence EAST ASIA Japan Ohira death may help unify strengthen LDP not affect US Japan relations Should ASEAN Meeting-6 27 - 28 To discuss regional security Kampuchea refugee problems Korea Uneasy calm prevails throughout the country Military group has moved to consolidate power through system of committees that cover all functions of government We are working to determine how to persuade ·ruling group· to -m ove· in -a-· democratic· direction without jeo_pardizing vital security interests AFRICA South Africa Moose expressed to Ambassador concern over escalating cycle of violence and lack of policy restraint Said repressive measures would inevitably affect relations Unconfirmed police orders to shoot to kill matter of great concern Largest South African attack on SWAPO in Angola in two years destroyed SWAPO headquarters and thirteen other bases No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 NLC-133-1-2-22-6 No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 N LC-133-1-2-22-6 J c L tU t -J - • - 7 - US joined in Security Council unanimous vote condemning repression of opponents to apartheid Provision for Dil embargo dropped Mondale met with Ambassador Edmonson 6 18 Liberia New Government seems eager to have good relations with us -- Has completed realistic budget econpolicy supports free enterprise has severe payroll problem Urging W African governments to end Liberia's isolation Tolbert's son removed from French Embassy and imprisoned - urging due process Angola Senate Helms attempting to remove teeth from Clark Amendment modify to permit arms shipment We wish to avoid any indication we-are involved in arms shipments Famine fn East'Africa Aid to Uganda 20 000 metric tons of emergency food this month and nex t Also financing air shipments of UN food - -Asking for $1 million PL 480 supplenetal Somalia 11 500 metric tons in food aid to arrive in July 10 855 tons to arrive in August $1L 9 million in non-food aid to date BASES Diego Garcia - British accepted all us proposals for FY 82-85 expansion and greater flexibility in using island PM Thatcher to give formal agreement to President at Venice Diego-Trident package now in place No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 NLC-133-1-2-22-6 • No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 NLC-133-1-2-22-6 - 8 - Have signed agreement with Oman Expect signature on agreement with Kenya by end of month Negotiations with Somalia You know status better than I Preparing positions for Fall negotiations with Spanish Expect Greeks to ask for negotiations on security agreement shortly OLYMPICS 63 countries boycotting Moscow games There will be no slippage among our major supporters West Germany owway Japan and Canada Results of our boycott effort have been good in Asia and the Middle East moderately good in Latin Anerica and Africa and disappointing in Western Europe where did better with governments than with Olympic committees Schedule of post-Olympic games proceeding Track and field swimming and gymnastics will be in the United States Germans and Norwegians will host a shooting event Boxing will be in Kenya and weightlifting in China NON-ALIGNED MINISTERIAL Extraordinary ministerial in Havana cancelled 1981 ministerial moved up to January Reflects Indian compromise SECRET No Objection To Declassification 2008 06 09 NLC-133-1-2-22-6