The National Archives' reference CAB 128 75 3 • Copy NI' or '3 c oJ» D TOP S £CR E't os·r CONFlOIDITJi L R EOORD ro CC S 81 li Concluslon s ThL1tsday '1· Ma1•e1l 1 82 TH Jj UNt1·r1D KTNO U01' f STRA'fEGlC 1'i U CJ F-A R D E 'l' E R R J N ·r Pr viou Sc're •C111 c e CC Jt lrad ConclUGIOUb THE SECll E'rA ftY OF S'l A'l'E 1ro1't OEFENGll 'fr id that the atr itle i lc l IIC l cll r dcu e rrciit WI Ir cent'ral 10 th do o-nae of ho Ou tcd Kiu ldom 'No 001 couJd l'bra u ie wh it ml l L over lie 1llild 30 '10 ya- r• ha1 pen 1 0 t b e North At 111 rt·i ic T ' ilW Or 1nli -tfot1·ot- to the Unftad mr e_ac attiuui to Ll c lt-iel1cc or Elu_t'op A •·t r 0tei1c detcr e r1 r uu ide · l t ltt11J1 nationAl Ol lll'OI w u Ulei-n o ' c 111onl ial Tltu P l1u·i11 or«ll' wc1uld bi 30 'enrs old by lh1 l• 0-1 anll itK CJ adiuDi ty wuu ld bo dec linin On ly fo 1Tbo11 l T ri 'le11l ore could p1•0 1tla a 1JUcces110l' wh ic J would bo C '1Hbb l-e in S1 viet eye d r mu iu c 1 1c r tiona wall into tll'i 2 lti C1 n1u ry 'rJ D9 Tr i lont 2 ·rtisslla w01tld be more C O iL-e if ccti• ·e ·nlinn Ille C4 Trld nt J c riilol 1 b e u - H would prci t' • e comrnonailcy butw nn Bt'lt ll ln l d Anl ica 1 t wou ld also be cheil l'Cr du ring lhc- yc r ll mmed tcl y J1o_ad ti total co11 1 over JI D cen yen r11 wtiultl uvi ragt i 5QO mlllilon n car Qr Jl llt o er th TCt' p T c c nt o rui a lUlun l Di e nce ' ludgt I o 0 0r r t 1 DOO milJion 13 y c ontriurn F ru llco•• nw lca l' d@wrrcu w i a 011t ing tw ty iie ' cc n t o he r c tt o iuce icpi ndLtu - For bow mill 1 - ry lWld µoh a cal Basoltil • tl e Bl'itit1h dee I Rion could J1ot boi art J er fit1lay d roll owiny l h Cilll ill 'l '• dhic u 011Ion tH'I i J r w u r ella-re fa l o 1 eccrc t lugh-Lcvr1 negotl11tion - hail l 1c1en 11nduriak U1 ch thi 1Jn l tfll Sta lil11 uull1o tic lo c 411 1 hli«h tha t eTm1 on whlcb tb o lr11icton 2 missile Cll ld bu mr cl vaih h 'l'll-e llpeh l of tl'le e nugotUlt lOJifl h 1 d Dllel'l ° Q J ll• all · ill voura blc aituz a lil i 111 eta rt 1be Amorlc O'lo luul i o Ulll end Ol 1'dc CoVC lly aorl to bo h lpfuL u in th cn i of It 1i c1 aTlll ntl Triclr nt l II grc nnom t'l 11 muiJiilu wc ud be de 1 •illal l at t hto eonL ratt p 1dc I - api hcahl u to Lbu DnH ccl Sm 14- No vy B · w ny or offaot Ute Uniwd Smt 111 a tthorltlc a had 11n d1 r-takcn to mod fy o b ninis-1 rl' Uvoly 1he a ff fec Ror t 11 lr Bu-y A n •ncn legulntlon lfO 1 1 t 13TiLish indud tl'y ct1uld allmpc t for i uk-tort Lrt• ota rtc r fscll tbn whc 111 r oilla of Lbo lJniLod Sta tcs ' l't'lclent pro i ra mme Am11Tlca n au I son •taH in 1 ond11b wouJJ be l U Lblo LO advise B rituilt Jirn1a wii tli n·Jl to tcndcr fr r snch buc1inc1111 •rlhei'r 11uccOJ1 1 woll'liJ r ours s dJ puntl on t'm lr compcti1 jvon1 11g Thu Amor1 n111 mid i lto iJ dicated prh'il t ly tlmL lh12¥ bo11 d u 011u11i Uia lr aurr 'nt fioll cy of pln clng other l n ryc tl dftni e ordior• in Brl11 £J ln ' 11 b c aurtill'ITtttill J1plieahlo t-ti a n1lltbth pv t·clta or rr rid nt z woUJ d be f 3 5 muUon lo-ve r lh 1 n those cnviirn i -od 1ni lur tlle- Tt•id ont l il-grcc m tJJt l TOP SEClU 'J' © Crown Copyright The National Archives' reference CAB 128 75 3 • • • 'T'OP SECRET 11 racllit4 '£ ch1u•Ku had hattn w ivod ltuget liar imd Ult Ra1h i1reh niltl De- vl'lupu un l ovy wolilu Ue li nl LA l to u Jlx d awn In c in star t dolJ u• i r4 cn than apor le img o - tlir tnQ an r - n J nti-e n rh ll would bj l n volved ln o_iJ l1or Cll sn 1n return ur 11 a le aat1ecasion11 ilia in ricnDJI h d tou gbl a st1 li- wce J about Bridr li con te ncii innl d'11ploymenu antl while no 11pecifi lll ldet t lc hq 11 f thla ld11 l would f ln niru tn th fllrl'l-pO iocl ng -ctmani tl1u B ritil ih negr tiatol' J' lad be n 11 l il11 U malt ood II $ of his doch q on rwh h lie lu d Ur ady u Jtcl I uthe r COU Uda to 1 cmil1 t he rtnv I Navy'a hllo n 3s01Llt ahips Fea rwi s and lntrapld A 11 tha rUS1ll t or in unr 'JU o ln1$d Ju11J sOmt' 9-ow 1 olf rh 111 1 in l'l-ld lill I ' ri d Ut tho Ih·iueh Pre»¥ Pu blii roucllions 1 iMl boe i fuvou r-able Sulijeot « the CabL all a 1 gre c rneru 11c JloW hoped •tJw t Lh e negOUt tlou 11 callld l 6 concluded l U t11' 1 ow· n r l ollmol l u'lfttllil cetl ut l ch 'T'•hi l 'elltC r t1•·C ry eil'nrt w 1uld nuoct to be made to ma icitIUno publio s1ipp1 1rt Iar the 1li c i11ion J tl uugli 11 rnnJorJ ty ol t» oloc torntu clun rly bcUc ud hat ' 13J itiUn sbuuld 1 ot ai q nn in ependent d f rns nQ l h i 71 wn 11 ai yet las 11gruc-n11 11t Jiat 11' rlde1H 2 u Id bu I he t'igLt chouic 1t would bo im 11ortu n1 b bhuw thal iLs rt U coi t over tl mo- w lll I b no high r- l'h n 1' i lenL l 1 would h a v bean tl n 1 1 l woulcT eave roon-1 - •icbin ih o defence p rr gr lmn1u o nl ln1 llca nt n e -i atJc d e 1di1Ul e on co o lltiuual wr es sine I i h r tbo ni would be Jl noed wx O l it 1J 11 to deploy Inc m 1 ci m1un numbbtl ¢1 m1 s11iles- 01' w11rhf ldfl p alrihl • with Ille 'Ilridtmt 2 syBt J m 1 i f i mo-cc 'l ® tcQ num cr pru crl mlli t t'il ' detqun le 1n d4 'cu1 11ion th •i -u was g nural u 1 por -1 or the Scul' tary or St tt e l'or Deic nce 111 pToposale 1u id ip-prec LAtl o •wlls 1ucp u11uud lor thol full lir-ic'1t11g which h11 b 11 tl Jcrri llt od £en· m mbo ra of ht G iliino t ollowing Ui Ui'ii 'lic r IL 1 1 lU µi 0ll o£ U '° ubJt CI on t UIUlJ r 'rhc dccl ailon would bll wnrm l y v11iJ comi d by a1 mo111 all Lb Gove rnmun1 1 n -ppc 11 r 1 n Pi ·l¼am4--ftt u r _ mc ciihg Lhc prcvioU- ff cvuni ng l ci d ma de clea-T Cc1 11 e cnlil uoo re ITlilincd a d iogeri bi11 the i rr0r 1ol'icd oflsct l J' a ug emM oo Jl oulu pru-vc partl'culill rl y ·o lunbl proui1 l d U thoy d ld non cnco LUtcr too much op1 osltinn ill lhc Uult t d su1 1e s Coug -e1 Ji s A •J 'I' 1 11'f hrt wott ld now 1 noc o asary LO ra l ly pu bli c in1pp1Jrt i'ol' 1he 'trident 2 P r 1 11ra n1rt1r It would nal be 11011 fble lo d11 vli t- pl naJ ly nr r11ngnme nts wluch wou d p-reclllde fiuu Te V t•nrnw it f - rn b •t ttloning iL B11 t pol lt lua J 1 it n li l t no p rovo dlnn h aniagr ou« tl1a comp i ra ti vcly llr11c would ha vt ts1 en pt lll on 1 ha pl'ogra m mu by ll dm1 1 o tll • 11 xl CteAt ir il E loolion I he Government on1Jld oat be accmao I of p11o •om pliTl1 Ilic Is Juu •allil practloc mari y of thi lr oppononti in P l'l Wtnent 'o JJ tl if th y c nmo f-9 oJllc 1 ir- fore er to -oco ttL thi t th Jec iaion 110 l ti in Lllku Q ol 8 th onl ' poesible Olie P1 1 hUc omphasis WO Lld Ddccl to l u 1 Jj1 la d on th u1nunl rn tbi r l h J the fi rteen-yi n r oo tt 01 lh otramme on the iJ 11 ccu1·nc r 1 f ioa ni fJ m t li would 111trl OUl lly UDdc r11 rilno Bi-i t dn 1' s con v1u1tiona J mill t nry nrcngth winch c oll cl I A fat t bo U oc Livc1y deployed only u onj1inct 1on wftb· adcqJ wtc 1 rattgi d u r 1·1' llV a nd on continul n1 i 1Hu • il1' l i j- t t1olt111 r dig i •rn mt-JTil1 whi I W0 1 ld ha ttdl' l' r i th r U aJt o u1w r U'Btlurlu a 1 Ja nclonud htl r Jl ialtiol'I or II t ron g tn m r z 1'01' SEC R n 'l' © Crown Copyright The National Archives' reference CAB 128 75 3 ' ' JP 6E•GR lt T Tbe Can 1 p tign for 1'hHil cnx· OiaLL nJil JTICDI CND e d i1·01r ri being illt lua l 110mlhall ' i no 11-p ir l u- -ganiaation Ad £ -om lih 1 uppl rl 3L enJpyt d i fl'IIOng tha young alil in ti Om i hu n h d rcl'Oii lL w u RS'·rl 'PII pity lhdt tlbe CNJ 111 mn nv oi i_pootmuo wa ea nor tso r•gnn l n cl on ' nun-pai 1y ba11is -r11e CND l ightl y Yl rcs 'd th leriib 11 nal'un ol' m1 c le 1H· Wf lil IOD I- but f nJ e J to Y4lC Ognl1rn Brl '1l f'PIIIJl'Ssion crf i n ra1 c gi c d eto l' -nl ilet11J1 tu 1 f't U'lt• r Lhau inct tio u d I lie d onij'-' r of Ail though J l crc were aTgl J'TI Ull A ag iiJS•l aui n c idng 'hat n11 c le1 '· wilT Brita in raithu tlC1pll y fe w ' ' tt1ialrll n11 and WIL'l'Dl ld1s than nhe T-r1deni Z 11y 11 em made pooulhlJ tbore w u ld n i ila ru b m J r 1H lv en g lli m n king clco r 10 those with I oJ'i 'IUB conca1 'Tl l tor ircn c onl rol th11t %10 military cscall U 11 w • tld la t ra tic s 1 ji voh rcU in tJ IWi cell by 1 ll ·italn £1·0TJ1 'l 'rtd J l ocn l opuuon in Scotlarul thould al -o be t't il SilUr tl J lly UJ e fact l ml-1il T t'idom z • O'll ld no C t ttVOl ''f a n C Ct lll 8' on or the - a of e ba 110 ncili tit in Firrtl of CJ rel 6 r tornatior tall y u woul d ha Vt b en unthi n k i bl e ·i o loil IT f'r ncc as tho only e ectlve t11 u lea - power i tJ V usi at'n Jl 1ti·6pe Brltal n'a aU lr - w re nol xpocted to Dppoiie hcl' T r dc nt 2 dcdi io Nucle u· W lllpom l'tire it J l'e1u 1nt n vHry IUllotio nroJ is11ue in Lile Fer la rat Republic oCOermany p rtlcwarl y w ithin Cls ancnllor Schmidt I p r-iy btil the privat e v w111 of oven a1ich lu tt- Y i iguro s u He ·x Bahr w a thar i hc l5r id di ana t1 Pt 1Dell dt t 11' enta war6 vim I1 r tha fll cu rity of Eur p11 Thi Fi'anclt Covl rnnnen 1n rrde r tp t11l l t c m1111t u I lcic 'tTI qf th rr-uc l1 highiµc o- t o n theu- ov rn tlcte- - en t Ct lt obJlgod to a r guci iJ1at B rtt i·eh nuc 1t111 t fQ-a-1 w1cr uot r-ully lrulepuc e 11 or tJ o AM ri cnni I n oporat l onal tcXms oJ 001 1r110 tlu H ·w111s q 1 1 t-e 1 1 dt ruc l og1 iaocally tho J3'ri ti 11h 'frlden 2 force 11 it proec111 ccnc cJv ld cild · 1 '0l 111 a dogrco of depcndonc e on ArncTic -icup-Jl'O t though lc rJI luau would hav b ea be 011 0 d t 11 T rid en I l mi asltes which had a inuch lhcrni c r in- tWJO life l't u h up J M wcr vc r· c11t i U t'A¢ ucec11B oJ' the ChoViLlin p1·ogr1LmiT11 1 sUJJgt Sted that 1' rltnin w-ould not l ic ic-ohnolQgica lJ y lllllbl ID Taphcc it 1 11 A ll atioruil l 1t1l11 ' I'Te E PR11' E t- fi' NLS'ill E R eummlnlI up Lbc dl i cu111il OJ1 s 1iit 1 hai the C_a h l nl 1 11rr e d l H ·u Trident Z mi11s il11i for four-bo i l Brl tisli iorce slioiud bi lk qi u red J om tho U nited 6til to on be n auggo1 t d OnlORf- nA ear ile r 11 r 01tncu1nt'1l bcc uno noccs11n ry rJ11cauBe or n_ J w ahi11iiton l c Ca blllat would hq VC ul f lll1 0rtuuit y ol' orm11li •e Co llliam nt thie deci liOJl on 1 Mn 'ch pri or co th c ag1·ecmet1t benR 4 IU'I0ll ll 'tlll liuur Ulll t day rh S ct1 tii-y ot State fol· Dofu11 '-' 11oull 1 pubhJ1hu 11 an •pen Oo- vo rnrra nt Oocumo nt oxpl init1g th-e uou i for U1c Jll 'W pali 'y ·'fhi J migh i bt cu-cul l tud t ht C hinC l flJ r tho Lr iniormD ciou 11t1 111' 11roh Me1 1nwlulc at nts of p 1e utmost 1 m111 rt an c · r ·om a 11U lctt 11 L ccrei y should be mnJ11lil lllC C1 itbout the Cubuwt 111 c11 rr-c n di i u11 ilon rli rn1ntttllft of wbich abolilrJ be r ta i nvcl by tlla lh ut uhd Soc rc ta ry o di C11 h in H T l 1tc Ca4 n1H 'J'q k no l'O Willi appCQY'ttl of tbi Pir ir1' ' Miu i n1mrni 1 _g Ip of th d-r a L cus lcn Cab'ln i l 0£fi u TOP S Iii6R iT © Crown Copyright G •' t