DECLASSIFIED I Authority bU lb - - libel DBPAlfl' M EXT 01 STATE Tm St r11t- r ln- - Si't q I • -- -1 T ST Tu SECRET MEMORANDUM FOR - - April 9 1979 Mr Christopher Mr Newsom Mr Saunders Mr Kreisberg Ambassador Pickering Ambassador Smith Mr Gelb Ambassador Hummel C-6 FROM Arnie Raphel SUBJECT Policy Toward Pakistan --t J -L _ -- - -7 During a meeting with Ambassador Hummel on ApriQrhe Secretary outlined the following priorities in our policy toward Pakistan -- Our policy is not driven by intelligence concerns Pakistan could have intelligence value but there are other and pmentially more valuable verification possibilities - - Although we have expressed our regret over the BhullO execution we will nor let it be a long-term irritant in our relationship with Islamabad We should not let actions we take with Pakistan cause excessive hazards ID our relationship with India We consequently have two major foreign policy priorities with Pakistan - - our security relationship and the nuclear non-proliera tion issue Our difficulties in implementing our policy coward Pakistan over the weeks and months ahead reflect rhe fact that the means of attaining our objectives on these two issues often conflict The instructions for Ambassador Hummel's meeting with General Zia are based on the considerations noted above and reflect the facts that SECRET I DECLASSIFIED Authority bUll ukP1 SECRET 2 There are real legal and political constraints on what we can do for and with Pakistan if they continue to develop a nuclear weapons potential · We recognize the validity of the 1959 Bilateral the porentia l threat posed to Pakistan from events in Afghanistan and the consequent instability it could cause in South Asia We consequently have a real and immediate interest in cooperating with Pakistan co oppose that threat We also realize that we may well be unable to dissuade Pakistan from proceeding down the nuclear road and _ 18Y w ll be Y ithin the next two to five yea rs with a nuclear Pakistan a- 52-1 o l -- Over the short term w should attempt to maximize our chances to be successful in he nucle'li _and securitX ar s even thoug we realize inherent conflicts exist r'l to -fi'2'- r i --4 ' The Secretary said that we should proceed expeditiously with the planned PL 480 Title HI program in Pakistan He asked Mr Newsom to pursue this issue with Henry Owen We should be alert to possible changes in the leadership of Pakistan and closely watch the political trends within the country SECRET