DECLA SIFIED Authority -'· a J t t4 17 _ 0037'3 - 2 3 JU soz 22 Department of State ' SECRET I I' OUTGOING TELEGRAM N00487 ORIGifll N005•00 s INFO OCT•IO d 000 R ORAFTEO BY ACOA NPIT GRAHA JlN PMAIBFRlSA APPROVEO BY STATE TIMNIMETZ OESITPICKERING SHINSON ACOA ROCHLlN R ILLIANSON 5 ASJALOCKE 5 P RGAL UCCI T 0 WSALMON OOE FMCGOLORICK PM IIIPPHiUTHE NEA PABIRPECK EUR RPE EVONOENSTEINEN 5 5 01 wSBUTCHER N 0 o· I S 132212 ti2 0 P 132138Z JUN 80 ZFF6 FM SECSTATE WASHOC TO AMEMBASSY 60fllN IMMEOlATE AHEMBASSY LONUON IMMEOIATE INFO AMEMBASSY I LAMABAO PRIORITY • HITE HOUSE PRIORITY 0000 SECRET STATE 106752 NOOIS '- N 0 D I ·S _ E O 121d65 ROS•2 3 4 TAGS 6 13 201iH tNlMETZ M T 1 STATt JT PARM TECH MIIIUC PK Gw SUBJECT PAKI5TAN 1 S NUCLEA PROGRAM 1 • S FOR SONN OEPAHTMENT HAS COMPLETEO A R V lEl'I JF TECHNICAL AND INTELLIGENCE INFORMATION ON THE STATUS OF PA ISTANIS NUCLEAR PHOGRAM A SUMMARY OF T E ESULTS OF THIS STUOY EHE PRESfNTEO TO THE u FRANCE NETHERLANOS SECRET • DECLA5 1FIED Authority t hJ1 p pj I • J ___ -- - - - - - - - -· Department of State ' OUTGOING TELEGRAM SEC ET CANADA ANO AUSTRALIA CURING BILATERAL DISCUSSIONS EMBASSY IS REQUESTED TO PROVIDE TME INFORMATION CONTAINED IN PARA-3 AS A SECRET NON•PAP R TO APPROPHIAT£ SENIOR MFA ANO BMFT OFFICIAL S 2 CS IN AOOITION MSASSY IS REQUESTED TO PROVIO APPROPRIATE FRG OFFICIALS ITM INFOHMATION IN PARA 4 WHICH OETAI S OUR UNuERSTANOING OF RECENT CO MERCIAL COOPERATION SY PRIVATE GERMAN FIRMS WlTH PA ISTANIS UNSAFE• - - GU NRICMM NT ANO REPROCESSING PROGRAMS DURING THIS L ATTER PRESENTATION EMBASSY SHCUL O TMAN THE FRG FOR ITS PAST COOPERATION IN THIS TYPE OF EXCHAN6E OF INFOHMATlON ON EXPORT CONTROL ACTIVITIES ANO SHOULO STRESS T AT w ARE PROVIDING TMIS INFOHMATION AS PART OF OUR ON•GOING EFFORTS TO CONTROL THE EXPORT OF SIGNIFICANT ITEMS TO PAKISTAN'S UNSAFEGUAHOEO StNSITIVE ACTIVITIES M ASSYSHOUL O STRESS THE EXTREME SENSITIVITY OF THIS I FUR ATION --'N 0 D I S 3 1 CS CURRENT ASS SSMENT OF PAKISTAN'S NUCL AR PROGHAM W-E HAVE RECENTL Y COMPL fTEO A REVIEW OF OUR INFORMATION ON THE NATURE ANO TATUS OF PAKISTAN'S NUCLEA PROGRAM ANO HAVE CO CL UOEO THAT AOOITIONAL ATTENTION SMOULO BE IVEN TO PA ISTAN 1 S EFFORTS TO CONSTRUCT AN UNSAFEGUAROEO-R PRO• CESSING FACILIT1 THE NE LABORATORIES NEA PINSTE H IN AOOITION THE EVIDENCE INDICATES THAT PAKISTAN IS CON• TINUING TO PURSUE A NUCL EAR WEAPONS O VEL OPMENT PRO RAM RECENTL Y AVAIL ABLE INFORMATION MAS HEIGMTENEO OU CONCERNS ABOUT PAKI S TANI EFFOwTS TO AClilUIRE FISSIL t MATERIAL FoR · THIS PROGRAM F OM REPROCESSING AL THOUG URANIUM ENNICh• MENT OFFE S PAKISTAN A ROUTE TO FISSIL E MATERIAL T AT IS UNOBSTRUCTED dY IAEA SAFEGUARUS SEt ET ·-· -J lo I · t iNT 0 7i c o ·D I ' ·--1 •· Department of State # OUTGOING TELEGRAM hls11E C gR_E_T_ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 1- _ _ _ s-r 'TES -A _ cfc r-_ _ _ _ _ _ _ · s N 0 D I - s N 0 D I s I THE GOPIS URANIUM ENRICHHENr EFFORT PRESENTLY CONSISTS OF A SMALL PILOT PLANT WHICH HAS EEN ASSEMBL O AT SIHA A ANO A LARGE PROOUCTION•SCALE FACILITY WHICH IS UNUER CONSTRUCTION AT KAHUTA • WE BELIEVE THE SIHALA F CILITY IS NOT LARGE ENOUGH TO PROOUCE WEA ONS QUANTITIES OF - HIGHLY ENRICHEO URANIUM THE MOST SIGNirICANT RECENT DEVELOPMENT AT T E TEST CASCADE AT SIHALA HAS - BEEN THE AOOITION OF PERIMETER SECURiTY AROUND HAT E BtLIEVE ARE THE BUICOINGS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TEST CA5CAOE THE AHUTA PLANT - IS OESIGNEO TO HOUSE SEVERAL THOUSAND CENTRIFUGES AN INITIAL SECTION OF THE PLANT CE G 1000 CENTRI UGE3J COULO dE OPERATIONAL IN 1981 ANO COULD PRODUCE SUFFICIENT FISSIL MATERIAL FO A SINGLE NUCLEAR EXPLOSIVE OEVICE ITHlN ONE TO THREE YEARS AFTEH START•UP MEN COMPLETELY OPE A• TIONA PROdA LY y THE MI0-1ga0rs T f PLANT COULD PHO• OUCE ENOUGH HIGHLY ENRICHED URANIUM FOR SEVERAL NUCLEAR DEVICES PER YEAR WORK AT THE AMUTA SlTE IS CONTINUING ALTHOUGH ELECTRICITY HAS SEEN BROUGHT INTO THE CDMPLEX JuOGING FROM THE GENERAL LEVEL OF - PH06RESS FOR THE OV RALL aITE E HAVE NO NEASON TO BELIEVE THAT OPERATION OF CENTRIFUGE CASCAOES HAS BEGUN SIGNIFICANT PHYSICAC CHANGES AT TME SITE INCLUOE A SECURITY PERIMETER WHICH HAS BEEN CONSTRUCTEO AROUNO THE PRODUCTION A EA CAMOUFLAGE MARKINGS PAINTEO ON THE AOOFS OF fHE PROCESS UILOINGS ANO A GENERAL UPGRAOE OF THE Al uEFENSE SYSTEMS AROUND THE SI TE THE PAKISTANIS HAVE EE ACTIVELY PURCHASING PARTS ANO EwUIPMENT FUR THEIR ENRICHMENT PHOGHAM FROM A Nu BEri OF COUNTRIES THHOUGH OUMMY COMPANIES USING FALSE END•U5E STATEMENTS ALTHOUGH IT NOW APPEARa THAT CONCERTED EFFORTS SY -ESTERN SUPPLIERS MAY HAVE SIGNI ICANTLY SLO EO PAKI• STAN'S CLANDESTINE SHOPPING ACTIVITIES THESE EFFORTS HAVE Sy NO MEANS DfT RHED THE PAKISTANIS FHOM FU THEH SHOPPING IT NOw APPEARS THAT PA ISTAN IS OBTAINING MATERIALS COM• SECRET Department of State OUTGOING TELEGRAM SECRET T4H N Q - oI - s N 0 D I s 156152 PONENTS ANO EQUIPMENT FOR ITS URANIUM ENRICHMENT PROGRAM FROM A NUMBER OF EUROPEAN FIRMS THROUGH INTERMEOIARIES IN OUBAI ANO UWAIT WORKING WITH PAKISTANI FIRMS FRONTING FOR T E GOVERNMENT OF PA ISTAN EVERTHELESS I LIGHT OF INOICATIONS OF CONTINUING DIFFICULTIES THE PAKISTANIS AHE ENCOUNTERING IN THEIR ENRICHMENT ENOEAVORS AVE FAIRLY HIGH CONFIO£NCE THAT SUFFICIENT HfU FOR AN INITIAL PAK NUCLEAR OEVICE COULO NOT BE AVAILABLE FHOM THE KAnUTA FACILITY FOri Two OR MORE YEARS wE HAVE MUCH GREATER UNCERTAINTY ABOUT PLUTONIUM AVAILA• SILITY IT NOW APPEARS POSSI LE THAT THE PAKISTANIS HAVE MAOE MOHE PRO RESS IN THE AREA OF REPROCESSING THAN W PRE• VIOUSLY aELIEVEO riEPROCESSING OF SPENT FUEL MAY WtLL GIVE THE GOP SUFFICIENT FISSILE MATERIAL FOR A NUCLEAR O TONA• TIO 6EFORE ITS ENHICHMENT PROGHAM OOES SO WE BELIEVE THERE ARE FOUR FACILITIES CAPA8LE OF REPROCfS• SING SPENT FUEL CURRENTLY OPE ATIONAL OH UNDER CONSTRUCTION I PAKISTAN T O ARE R PORTEOLY LOCATEO INSIDE PINST CH O E IS AOJACENT TO PINSTECH ANO KNO N - AS THE NEW LABORA• TORIES ANO THE LAST lS THE CHASMA FACILITY INSIOE PINSTECH THE E IS A LAoO ATORY•SCALE REPROCESSING FACILITY LOCATEO IN THE 8AS MENT ANO A SECUNO SOPHISTICATE • ANALYTICAL LABORATORY LUCATEO ON AN INTERMEOIARY FLOCH ALSO REPO TEOLY CAPA6Le OF REPROCESSINY 1 WE BELIEVE TrlAT T 6ASEMENT FACILITY HAS AT LEAST ONE SMALL SMIELOEO CELL WHICH HAS BEEN IN EXISTENCE FOR A NUM ER OF YEARS - AN ARTICLe PU6LlSMEO IN 1971 8Y PAKISTAN OESCRIBEO THIS FACI ITY ANO SUbGESTEO TMAT IT COuLO E EXPANDED E BELIEVE T AT PAKISTAN MAOE A OECI ION NOT TO EXPANO IT ANO INSTEAD OECIOEO TO 6UILO ANOTHEN LARwER FACILITY NtXT TO SECRET -- ----- I Department of State I D ' I ' _ s OUTGOING TELEGRAM smET J - ---P I ' N S_T__E__ C_H_C _A _L _L_E_O_T_H E- N -E W L At'il HJ lr---R-A_T_OR - U- S- •- - -T-H_E_ US_ H _A _S_ _ __ __ _ _ __ 11 - RECEIVED A FE REQUESTS FROM PAKISTAN FOR REPROCESSING• RELATED MAT£RIAL OR EQUIPMENT CE URANlUM•23 ANO PLU• TONIUM STANOAROS OESIGNATEU SPfClFICAL LY FOR THE NEW LA80RATOAIES THE PAKISTANIS HAVE NOT TO OUR NOWCEOGf OPENLY REFERRED TO TH E NEW LASOHATORtes BEFORE THESE REQUESTS WERE RECEIVED OUR INFUHMATION lNOICATES fHAT TME NEw LA60RATORIES HAS AT LEAST ONE SHitL EO CELL 4 M LONG BY 2 5 M wIOE BY 3M HIGH wHlCH COULO 6E USEO · TOHEPRO• CESS IRRADIATED FUEL FROM ThE KANWPP HEACTOH ---- _ _ _ _ -WE 00 NOT YET HAVE SUFFICIENT INFORMATION TO MAKE A FINAL ESTIM TE OF THE NtW L A6S' CAPACITY OR COMPLETION CATE HOWEVER THE FOL LOWING PRELIMINARY OBSERVATIONS HAVf BEEN MACE WHICH OIFFe SIGNIFICANTLY FROM · o R EARLI R ASSESS• ·- N 0 - D I s MENT O K ON THE NEW LASS HAS CONTINUED THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THIS YEAH ALTHOUGH THE UILOING APPEARS TO bf EXTERNAL LY COMPL TE IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO OETERMINe PR • ISELY w EN IT WIL L EGIN OPERATIUN TH FACIL ITY MAY E COMPLETED AS EARLY AS THE SECONO HALF OF l9ij0 OR y THE BEGINNING OF 1gs1 E ESTIMATE THAT THE FACILITY •OULO B CAPABLE OF SEPAHATINb ET EEN l ANO 20 ILOGRAMS 0 PLu• · TONIUM PER YEAR IF PAKISTAN ACQUIRES THE NECESSARY HEPHO• CESSING EQUIPMENT OUR INFORMATION INDlCATtS TMAT TM DESIGN OF THE NEW LABS ANTICIPATED THE CONSTRUCTION OF hOT CELL S FOR REPROCESSING ROOMS FOR GLOVE80xEs A OOM FOR PLUTONIUM STORAGE ANDA SPECIA VENTILATION SYSTEM MOST SIGNIFICANTLY THt PLAN INVOLVED THE uSE OF MlXER•S TTLERS A OISASSEM y MACHINE OISSOLVER fANKS AND INTERCELL - __ __ _ __ TRANSPO TATION CASKS THUS SHCULO THEN LABS d COME FULLY OPERATIONA ijY Ml0•1960 PAKISTAN CONCElVABLY - COULD SEPARATE SUFFICI NT PLUTO IUM FROM SP NT KANUPP REACTOR FUEL FOR ITS FIHST NUCLEAH OEVICE BY EARLY 1Q81 THIS ESTIMATE IS BAStO ON THE VO UME Or THE ONE NO N MOT CELL ANO ON THE ASSUMPTION THAT PAKISTAN ACTUALLY ACQUIR£S TMOSE SECRET Department of State •- I ' ro 1 r S - - - S _ECRE- T - OUTGOING G TELE RAM - - -- - ITEMS HICH •ERE PLANNED FOR-TH FACILITY wHILE w ARE REASONA LY CERTAIN ASOUT THE VOLU E OF THE CELL E HAva NO CONCLUSIVE EVlOENCE TO CORROBORATE PAK ACQUISITION OF THE EQUIPMENT RfQUIREO TO MAKE THE A ILITY FULLY OPERATION4La WE 00 NOT BELIEVE THE CHASMA FA ILITY IS IKELY TO dE COM• PLETEO i IEFOHE THE MI0•1981d 1 S E ALSO BELIEVE THAT THE PAKISTAN ORDNANCE FACTORY AT THE WAH ARSENAL IS ATTEMPTING TO PURCHASE RAOIATlON MONITORIN E UIP ENT THIS TYPE OF ACTIVITY REINFORCES OU dELIEF THAT PAKISTAN IS USING THE WAH A SENAL TO CONOUCT ITS RESEARCh ANO OEVELOP ENT ON A NUCLEAR EXPLOSIVE OEVICt 4 S EXPORT CONTROL INFORMATION •• E HAVE RfASON TO BELIEVE THAT THE GERMAN COMPANY SEIFEHT RICH ANO CO MAY PROVIOt PAKISTAN ORONANCE FACTORY WITH RAOIATlON MONITORING EQUIPMENT SINCE THIS TYPE OF P-URCHASE OULO dE UNUSUAL FOR A CUNVENTIONAL ORDNANCE FACTORY WE WOULD E INTERESTED IN ANY lNFOHHATION YO R GOVERNMtNT MAY HAVE CONCERNING TH POSSIBLE EXPORT OF - THIS TyPE OF EUUIPMENT TO THIS FACILITY N 0 •• E MAVE riEASON TO BELIEVE THAT TH GERMAN FIRM LU A SMS HICH 15 SSOCIATEO WITH THE SWISS FIRM LU A AG AS BEEN ACTIVELY WORKING ITH THE • ISTAN ATOMIC ENERGY COMMISSION LUwA SMS A O THE FIRM LtlN SCHANZLIN ANO BEC ER AVE P OVIOEO A AOIOACTIVE WASTE SY5TEM FOR T E NE LAd8 riEPROCESSlNG FACILITY MlCH lS dEING CONSTRUCT • NEAR T E AIN PINSTECH BUILDING E ELIEVE THAT TMlS SECRET - D I ·s NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY Department of State OUTGOING TELEGRAM SECRET REPROCESSING FACILITY NILL NOT BE PLACEO UNOER IAEA SAFEGUM OS • - • •• WE HAVE R ASON TO BELIEVE THAT THE FI M INOUSTRIE• ANGLAGEN VERTRIES GMBH CIAVG HAS SMIPP D SIG IFICANT AMOUNTS OF EQUIPME T WHICH PAKISTAN IS USI G TO BUILD ITS UNS F EGUA OEO CENTRIFUGE FACILITY E BELIEVE THAT THESE SHIPMENTS INVOLVE MILLIONS OF OOLLAHS HORTH OF EQUIPM NT ANO ARE BEING SENT TO KUWAIT AND OUSAI TO HICE THE iNTENOEO ENO USE OF THe EQUI ENT •• E HA¥E ijEASON TO BELIEVE THAT TWU GE MAN COHPANifS HAVE SEEN WORKING FOR A FEW YEAHS TO euiLD Au FACILITY IN PAKISTAN E ELIEVE THAT THE FACILITY IS IN TH£ OE A GHAZI nAN AREA ANO THAT THE EQUIPMENT WHICH HAS dEEN PHO• VIOEO IS aEI G USED TO DISSOLVE -YELLON•CAKE GENE ATE H2 FOR REOUCING U3 8 TO U02 PRODUCE F2 ANU THEN PROOUCE ANO TRAP UFo WE ALSO dELIEVE THAT - PA ISTAN MAY REQUEST TH FIRM LEYSOLO•HERAEUS TO STA T UP THE FACILITY •• AE MAVE R ASON TO BELIEVE TMAT THE FIHM LEYSOLD•HERAEUS IS CONTINUING TO SHIP CENTRIFUG •HE ATEO EQUIPMENT TO PAKISTAN VIA UWAIT f N 0 D I •• WE HAVE REASON TO BELIEVE THAT THE FIRM HANS AtLISCH• MILLER WHICH W PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED TO YOU HAS PROVIOEO PAKISTAN'S NEW LABS EPROCESSING PLANT ITH A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF ASSISTANCE WHICH HAS INCLUDEO INSTALLATION OF A PNEUMATIC TRANSrER SYSTE ANO REP OCESSING•RELATEO QUIP• MfNT FOR A HIGH LEVEL NASTE CONDITIONiNG CELL •• WE LSO HAVt REASON TO BE IEVE THAT THE FOLLOriING TYPES OF OUAL•USE EQUIPMENT HAV SEEN PROVIOEO TO PAKISTAN'S ENRICHMENT NEPHOCESSING OR EXPLOSIVES PROGRAMS BY GfHMAN COMPANIES THIS TYPE OF EQUIPMENT EQUIRE5 AN XPO T LICENSE IN THE u s IF THE COMPANY KNOWS OR HAS RtASON TO SECRET f NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY • l t l J't 4'V''t J_ ·oEC A5S1FlED Authority - - -- ·---- - l iiiiiiiiiiaSiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii- iiiiiiiiio - 'D Department of State - ----------I J PAGE 06 I - - S J STATf KNOW THAT IT WILL BE USfO I A SENSITIVE NUCLEAR FACILITY OR ACTIVITY E WOULO E PARTICULAHLYI TEH STEO INANY INFORMATION ThESE COMPANIES MAY HAVf CONCERNI G THEPRO• GRESS wHICH HAS SEEN MACE BY PA ISTAN-IN ITS CONSTRUCTION OF TMESE UNSAFEGUARUEO FACILITitS • I • NUMERICAL CONTROL JIGS OOEHIN ANO OEHLE GMBH ANO CB FRESTAL AG CA LOWITZ ANO CO • SPECT OMETERS AOVANCEO TECHNICAL SERVIC S • INDUCTION ANO ME T1NG FURNACE LEYSOLO•HEAAEUS S FOR ONOON EMBASSY IS REQUESTED TO PHO IOE APPRO• PRIATE U OFFICIALS WITH THE TEXT OF TH N •PAPEij ANU EXPORT CONTROL IN OR ATION PAHAS 3 ANO 4 WHICH HA5 EEN GIVEN TO THE FRb 1 THE EMBASSY SHOULO NOTE TrlE SENSITIVITY OF THIS INFORMATION ANO E TION THAT E ILL S ARf THIS TYPE OF INFORMATION ITH THE UK A PA T OF OUR MUTUAL EFFORTS TO STUOY POSSI LE MECHANI MS TO CONTROL G EY AREA ANO OUAL•USE NUCLEAW EXPORTS CHRISTOPHER N o I s TELEGRAM 1567 52 • COMPUTERIZED NUMEHICAL CONTROL QUlPMENT O· OUTGOING SECRET • MANDRELS ' -- SECRET