u FROM TO e - l A I - B hav1 ral S1_1bject • A Booby Traps Tamp r Pro fs Summary Cone l 1-1s 1on s Based upon most recent assessments Behavioral contingent now d1 counts lil- l1hood of booby-trap detonators installed on dev1 e Thit ' ssessm -nr_ 1_1p' 'rcedes earlier Behev1 rel n port Intelligence rnJ' '• t s since r '300 t h1s dat -e Latest OPSIT repor• •· Rat 1onale I I' Intelligence indicat es that G OOTCH 1s pr1n• ipal adv- sary n s1' e C' 1v- -n h1 j extensive bac kground 1n terrorist activities 1t 1s not likely that h-e wo•_ild i-isk s1_1ic1dal effc rt implied by dange1-s c f automat ic det nst 1 n f his d- ·v1 - hlle he 1s st ill 1n Jeopardy New intelligence of poss1bl- rn ve c f dev1 e 1400 h n 1rs now apparently confirmed t hi e dat_ E- 1mpl ies that the dev1• - assembly was not completed until this date and that the claim of such completion 1n the radioed message of 12 S was dE-s1gned as d1s1nformet10n 1n • ·rder t buy time Even now 1t ie possible that t he final 1ct ivat ion c f the device 15 be11J_9 d layed 1 -1r t d aft_ 'r 1t 15 in plece at 1r s_11 '_J 1 _l t - 1 rr ia t - - -·_________t-_ destinet 1 n 1 b 1 i1 st 1mport mt ly ho1veve1- is t he fact that the adv sar1es h sve 1nvest ed ons idE-rable effort 1n inst all ing anti-personnel attack defonses 3r 1 1nd the u'el l It is riot likely that s1-1 h effc rts 1 101_1ld have b -en made und- r t_ he circ1 Jmst an e that t he adv saries were relying n device connected b iby t_ 1-aps as their intended deterent particularly in view of the fact that they have not made attempt s t• make t his dear t i the p t ent 1al at_ t a kers As f t h1s 1 ime 1t is not clear why the advesary has not as yet made cont act with us regarding 1 he1r intentions and cle1r1f1cat 1on f t he1r resolve n 1garding sacri f1ce of their personnel by del nation f their device ei• h' 'r up n m1s 1• ri f il 1 1r• or poss1b1lity of such failure So far 1t 1s clear that the 1dvesaries appear t_ bel 1ev that r_ hey ar apable f di fending t heir pos1t_ i n from st r c l 1 These concl sions are not_ meant to imply that there may not_ be a dE-ad-man det nar_ er l ' a tr19g' 'r o 'h1 h a t 1vat ' S the d- v1 - - •Jp n the d st h f t he holder of the device Dec1s1on on this issue must await f t her 1nteil19ence The ab- vie 1nt erpretat_ ions l- ey only n r h r1g1nal 1wpl 1• at1 m that the device 1 muld go off upon ent ry t o t he b1_1ilding site Behavioral r' ow assesses this laim t o have been dis1nf rmati nal l I 1olO I -- I