LA ' _ •' ' -· n DRAFT MEMO TO CARL HENRY BILL CHAMBERS J-DO MS K497 FROM RICHARD F SMALE HSE-1 MS K483 SUBJECT FIR T IMPRE SIO MT uTv DSRR SR CONSEQUENC PHASE GREAT THINGS TECHNICAL ORGANIZATION DEPLOYMENT This continues to be one of the very best aspects of the DOE NEST this exercise was no exception The Hazards Effects people arrived promptly set up rapidly and had the situation under control in a minimum of time They utilized their logistics support well TECHNICAL EXPERTISE They knew what they wanted and how to go about getting the data and information that was necessary This extended through the search pre-detonation and post detonation phases FLEXIBILITY As the consequence data came in the Hazards Effects group could rapidly absorb the information and use ft to plan on the next step Their data management system was excellent THINGS TO THINK ABOUT FOR NEXT TIME PRESENTATION or RADIOLOGICAL DATA TO NON-TECHNICAL AUDIENCES In a N ST type depioyment this is especially important There are fundamental differences between prompt radiation effects from a nuclear yield downwind plutonium dispersal from a one point detonation or disablement and nuclear yield fallout In MIGHTY DERRINGER too much pre-detonation emphasis was placed only on the nuclear yield aspect The one briefing chart that did show a dispersal prediction wa juxtaposed on a pro pt effects blast thermal prompt rad ch rt It is the role of NEST and the Hazards Effects people to make balanced presentations and if possible inform the non-NEST people such as State Local authorities FEMA others of the mitigated dispersion non-mitigated dispersion and less than full yield consequences as well as the worst case scenario To do this the H E people need to interact more closely with the Damage Limitation people the Commander for Science so that they can keep abreast of the technical situation In the Indianapolis portion very little of this was done The nuclear yield was a given everyone expected it and slanted their calculations toward it l I INTERACTION WITH STATE LOCAL 1EMA Most of the interaction FEMA officials in the consequence management phase was done at formal briefings in the FEMA building While this is the correct method for dispensing data the NEST should be aware of the value of educating these people to the NEST resources and expertise There was very little state local or FEM t1 - c ' e N ' S' ' Fn C P gymnasiu - This is - ct · intended to be a suggestion that there should be a formal liason office but more a suggestion that we should bring these people over to show them how we develop a fallout plot or why we calculate lurig doses or just where we live Many of th• state Local people think we do these things with mirrors I with State Local I i i I EXERCISE PROBLEMS Not enough consequence time to develop good fallout plots groundf survey data radiation blast damage consequences This was due 1 to the fact that the exercise played in daylight hours only r Friday morning was not utilized very well by FEMA · · I Post detonation data was given to the players on a time line that to my mind was overly optimistic it was the time lines that the organizations _ Y that they can operate on With the general confusion chaos analogistics problems inherent to a national ' disaster some of the data isotopic sample analysis well constructed fallout plots iodine in milk data may well lag days behind the best estimates for delivery ' The simulation of the Damage Limitation function in IND meant that the possibility of achieving a mitigated dispersal or no dispersal at all was not given very much weight I j ---· UNCLASSI mJP 8l8l£ l-3SH 7N 7 WO