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Office of the Secretary of Defense, “Summary of Population Fatalities from Nuclear War in 1966," 17 February 1962, with attachment on "Soviet Bloc Targets and U.S. and NATO Destruction Capabilities as of Mid-1967," 15 February 1962, Top Secret

' I 1-GP SEgRET •· - - J-· L-_ _ · -- - r 2-17-62 SUMMARY Of POPULATION rATALITIES rROH IIUCLEAR WAF IN 1966 tin k1lllone I No Warnin for Vest w ur USSR u s - Soviet first Strike a Urban-Industrial d Hilitary A rburst -- - 85 b Milit ary and Urban-Indl 75 c Kilitary Groundburst lS-Kinute Varnl S for West u i V Eur USSR 115 65 75 115 75 56 85 21 56 85 33 25 15 10 2S 15 21 No Varninf tor USSR II lllited States first Strike u s Q ur OssR - Urb ln-Industrial 62 49 Military and Urban-Indl 38 lfO 35 c Kilitary Groundburst d Kilitary Airburat Soft 95 VS Soft •• •• - 26 Usable Waraio1 for USSR U S w tur USSR - --- -- 85 99 70 62 70 70 55 lf9 60 55 T 25 YS 25 ------- ·------Note 1 On the first strike of either belligerant • W'ban-1ndustrial strike 2 l lllder tbe Soviet first strike options c and d 1 POLARIS A-3 was held in NHrve for war termination bugainl'iig IT POLARIS A•3 9N then to be asslped to the USSR urban-induatrlal targets n additional 30-35 million mortalities could be inflicted 3 Both the u s and USSR are asaUMd to have imprQvlaed fallout protection for approximetoly 80 per cent of tho population No civil defense progr m is aaaumed tor Western Europe Without fallout protection the caau l tiea in the u s nd Soviet Union would increase by troc 50 to 80 • de nd1ng on the •trike option optioo la oot cousid•Nd• 1 r s 2 c I £ 13 ' t ir 3I I£D - E 'j' 'i i iH r- r 3s1ot1 Oif HE UING 0 'FICE · - · - - ·· t - ·- _ _·· - ··'' ·· 1 ··-· -•• - - · --- - · •• iiu l - 1 · tN· c RVA LS CECLASS r'd Af' ·sp 12 YEARS - - -·-- DOD DIR _ 5 00 l _ _ J · - _ _ - ·-· -------'--•------- --'41------ - - - --- _ _ ' '--- ' SOVIET SLOC TARGETS AND U S AN D NATO OESTRUCTIO CAPASI LlTIES ✓ AS Of R 0 1957 Soviet 1st Strike Median Case Urban-Kilitary Ta rgets 15 Minute Warnin5 No Wa rning Soviet Aim arheads Expected Warheads Expected Sloe Targets Points AssiRne C Kill Assi gned 1 Y ill Urban-I nd r loor Space 200 --Ia S10 IIb I _ S10 Total Populat ion rdtallties Unsheltered Soel t er4d Somber Support Bas es Defense Supprossion II I II I 79 79 510 510 79 7S 32 26 32 26 32 26 32 II 26 200 410 410 97 97 510 510 82 t12 300 976 1081 95 97 976 1081 16 52 Nuclear Storage Prod so 122 122 94 94 122 122 16 16 N val Sub arine 3ases so 100 100 OS 85 100 100 10 10 Soft IRBM 4 per site 100 295 400 94 97 345 450 92 97 Soft I BM 2 per site 357 1101 1101 98 98 1101 1101 96 96 ICBM l per site 100 400 400 42 42 350 350 18 18 --- 70 86 350 455 38 73 Hard European Satellite Military Targets 240 450 555 - Tot• 1607 4364 - 4679 a Case I • Includes pro r4-d forces only excludes NATO l-lRBK 'a b Cas II - c Alert force IHlapona only -d Includes 240 Ai• Points am 300 Warheads in rorce I and 615 Wdrheads i n force II in addition to the Ai Points and Warheads included in Package I el SACEUR's 26 4 Target List excluding Major Subor iinate Command Regional Proqrani for MR9l1's fighter-bo taers and IRBH's1 Airfields 234 HRBH'e 113 luclear Si tcs 1'3 ilitary Control 49 414 Datea Programmed forces plua 450 l1RB 'l's of whic h 315 are oo•stat·ion febr uary 15 1962 l• • ' • • I