70 2 2950877 L · PEECO L 1 t·lU a F-17 T-935 P-024 FEB 03 '94 13 17 l0 9 - _ - l a 'bers present Gen P li Clarkson Gen 'E cGizi le i-e l E Es e Dr A O Graves Dr Ogle li r J 2ea•••• w t Sew@ll Ca p W I Kn1c 1terooc ker 1 col w s cowui Ca pt a - e vn rd I t col c D Bo u io't Lt Col x ••• Rouse • l In genere l the torecs st presen ed at the 1d 11 lt b -iet1n£ was oonfirme d except t bat in the leve ls S ud lS t loi sand reet the torecast v ·a s li6At and TU able IA b•- ••A an atte pt o deli leate direction to these willd s 1t was detei-m i ned that the best 1 oreee st t lat co'U ld be given wa a tor 4 i e lO t t n sand toot level This as o -ecs st to be was e -17 t lO kno s as the cost pessis mis ic situation Con seque tl7 'tile hc o a r h plot · as de usi the lo thouse c d toot - st erl 7 -- wind in ara er to present tl 15 mcs-c _pessimistic s1tuetion hich · would oeeur T b is icture gave N sJ 1lte n t_J J _in the d ireeu cm or Rt1n g ie p end ik - tlowever 1t veas considered tha tt t is- e nee to Ro e ap e na· Rcngerik co pe red to the resultmt Vi ld speeds were s1 ich that no 1 eJ l-out s lculd reach thos• atoll a t om - ha to -ecast ho cgraph t l e time o travel to R0 lg la p w w have i lee n about l2 to 15 hours The hodograph plo did howeTt ' s b cw that certu nlr Am site wouli be heaTily conte d ne te4 e n most likely lUJi The lodogre ph gave two general t ll-out areas he lowar 1 eve l ru in ing trom 260 des -ees a oimd through south to 90 degrees with a six hour rall-cu c lln 1A the Ne c ie popul e ted atolls 1n 'the sout leaat quadl e nt about 15 - o 20 1£ s ou tr S -Ollll d zero The high le val rads -an tzoa about 45 degrees to SO degrees with a six hour tall-out lin t - o C u l s Since ·tlll 6 hour aJ l•out lines were co iuted cm e bc lOJ d cron pa rticl size• it r a s reco uuidecl that tha d s-tucc a aou bled fer se tety- Tb is ae cunted to consideriD e rti¢1• L ' sizes doY ll c about 70 lticrons I 2 ·change in the 72 hour clo'4d tre Jectc -1ts • a 4 _' i a se te Outlo s were 0d1tied a a tcllows a ikini atoll -we s ehe gAd rrc te vcra'bl• to un faTc abl•• b Eniwetok atoll ru aineo -very taT r£°bl1 c Uj ela tlg e 'toll rem U e c -ve rT tavc ble 500Llb91 - 7022950877 L S REfa O L U N1 F-179 T-935 P-0 5 FEB 03 '94 13 18 '• • d Native atolls in the s cut east quadre ct di • cuasec at this pcillt and elsew ere ill t he l r1at1lig T • ns r•el l tlle t'orecast was that these e tolls shou l -ecain taTorabla to the tcrecast long time ct travel tor t'e ll-oui to these c••• Specitically- wcthc e nd Eo el p ' ere co sidered b7 ne ma and position t se being the closest native pop ta4 atolls 1n h• i • 1 vic1 uit1 or e round zuo •• co itro1 DD tr•• lo change recc nended over the chimp a e at the llOO 2S Februar1 brierillg ------1 · t J '17 It Was re eomullded t tat the A'DS lij2 bO Z ' pos1 t1oti ae ch ed trom 35 miles outh ot GZ _to at leas 50 south ot GZ ztil•• __ g No c losure was r eco m nellded on e 1 r an4 s urtac• rot t s throu£h Wa ke and Xwe Je lein ot cz h I AA -advisory to· CINCPAC FLT and CDiC'F WU reco e 4ed 1 n co ntc rma c ce Yi th the above j i No tu ther Ship pilJ was re crted within 500 ilea 1 close Tas t Force Ships It was reeo mended that dua y bll pron mi tT o r Task Force ships to the out e r edge ot the aiz llOur ra ll-0ut 11 thesa ships be moved turtller cu- au a rad1a l1M to at J east 50 m ilea · 4 In 9-u • rnery it was rec ommended that a at• co vlltiezt• be oonsiciared tavcrable an aJ l points and untavo abla tcr B1k1n1 shot atoll · 2 l o -1