No Objection To Declassification in Full 2013 11 15 NLC-12-7-3-42_-2 - MEMORANDUM E- THE WHITE HOUSE TOP SECRET SENSITIVE WASHINGTON October 25 1978 MEMORANDUM FOR ZBIGNIEW BRZEZINSKI FROM WILLIAM E ODOM SUBJECT crisis Management Priorities Emerging Issues and Initiatives You asked for a short review of the above three categories in my area Crisis Management Basic priorities which have been met in the first two years 1 Crisis management procedures at the strategic level This is the area in which we have made the most progress An unanticipated and distressing consequence may be that we have oversold the capabilities for LUA 2 On the civil front the FEMA re-organization is a major stride The follow-through however is crucial and presently not ensured 3 PD-41 Civil Defense is a major achievement 4 We have generated a much changed impression and understanding of Soviet approaches to strategic force management 5 We have created an interagency counter-terrorism incident management system which has met demands effectively thus far and we have created new special counter-terror units in the Army Emerging Issues 1 c 3 1 is the most significant emerging problem rivalling the potential vulnerability of our strategic forces The NSC was in front of everyone on this issue raising i t first in PRM10 then pressing it in the re assignment of OTP's telecommunications policy responsibilities This issue cuts across a host of other areas promising to complicate a number of related issues in the coming year4 The war doctrine issue of course flows directly from 3 2 Managing CI the changes in doctrine will require a major effort by you and David 3 Mobilization inadequacies thrownup by exercise play NIFTY NUGGET will be an issue impacting on the organization of TOP SECRET SENSITIVE No Objection Declassification in Full 2013 11 15 NLC-12-7-3-42-2 No Objection To Declassification in Full 2013 11 15 NLC-12-7-3-4_2-2 TOP SECRET SENSITIVE 2 FEMA Presently there is little understanding or desire in 0MB to make FEMA fill the mobilization planning gap but we will miss an extraordinary opportunity if we do not force the matter as FEMA develops 4 Nuclear weapons security and terrorism could become a big issue The scene in Europe is not comforting perhaps not in the u s either 5 The technology transfer and trade issue as it relates to oil I and the USSR is an on-going issue New Initiatives 1 Continuity of Government We must launch a major review of continuity of government The PRC on civil defense agreed that this should be done and the civil defense directive PD-41 requires the capability which at present is non-existent This is not the easy issue it may appear to be It relates to the C 3 I studies LUA stockpiles mobilization military manpower policy and FEMA re-organization Trying to work out the terms of reference for analysis boggles the mind TS 2 Military doctrine I have spelled out the categories for pursuing this one They are a the conceptual revolution b 3 by small steps c flexibility in planning implementation in CI for military operations d force structure changes by small steps You may be inclined to emphasize the conceptual revolution first I am inclined to leave it until last moving in the program and operations areas first Such a sweeping doctrinal change is impossible to explain to most audiences and unacceptable to most who understand TS 3 Mobilization This one could be made an issue if you like or simply ignored for later NIFTY NUGGET is generating a wealth_ of data which could be used to make it an initiative Much can be done in this area at very little cost in defense budget outlays Legislation and organizational changes would not be costly S 4 A real shocker The quickest way to drive the defense budget down and to increase our military power is to reinstitute the draft reducing private's pay by 10 percent in the process The savings would probably dwarf the increment Harold Brown seeks S TOP SECRET SENSITIVE • No Objection To · eclassification in Full 2013 11 15 NLC-12-7-3-42-2